DONNELLY, JOSEPH SIMON MR.
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4IN02101- Internal id
1ad9c1dc-677a-421f-9d79-8f9ea8f80999- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), IN-02. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 752,547 |
| People | Median age | 38 |
| Income | Median household income | $68,107 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $34,824 |
| Income | In poverty | 12.9% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.2% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.441 |
| Race | White alone | 78.3% |
| Race | Black alone | 6.3% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.5% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 12.0% |
| Race | Two or more races | 8.6% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 6.3% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 86.7% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 8.2% |
| Education | High school or higher | 60.3% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 25.0% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 9.2% |
| Household | Family households | 64.7% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.56 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 32.2% |
| Housing | Median home value | $191,200 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,009 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 75.5% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 6.5% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.9% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 10.7% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 5.8% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 88.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 8.9% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 76.2% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.5% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 7.7% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | $5,662,233 | $5,588,317 | $93,936 | $98,430 | $4,180,725 |
| 2010 | $1,723,644 | $1,988,563 | $20,019 | $42,046 | $689,670 |
| 2008 | $1,846,898 | $1,599,272 | $284,938 | $28,380 | $698,326 |
| 2006 | $1,626,441 | $1,589,245 | $37,312 | $201,324 | $936,399 |
| 2004 | $706,066 | $708,291 | $116 | $101,900 | $301,457 |
Elections
- 2004 general house Β· IN-2 β lost_general
- 2006 general house Β· IN-2 β lost_general
- 2008 general house Β· IN-2 β running
- 2010 general house Β· IN-2 β running
- 2012 general house Β· IN-2 β running
Committees
- DONNELLY FOR INDIANA β principal Β· type S
- INDIANA HOUSE VICTORY FUND β joint_fundraising Β· type Q
- INDIANA VICTORY 2006 β joint_fundraising Β· type N
- KEEP INDIANA BLUE β joint_fundraising Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (4)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | INDIANA VICTORY 2006 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | KEEP INDIANA BLUE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | INDIANA HOUSE VICTORY FUND | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | DONNELLY FOR INDIANA | β | candidate_committees |