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SMITH, TIM

R Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H4IN03232
Internal id
51613c7f-6313-4804-88df-34921ecee4a9
Status
open seat

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), IN-03. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation762,957
PeopleMedian age38
IncomeMedian household income$70,696
IncomePer-capita income$36,240
IncomeIn poverty11.3%
IncomeUnemployed4.4%
IncomeGini inequality index0.434
RaceWhite alone81.6%
RaceBlack alone5.7%
RaceAsian alone2.9%
RaceHispanic or Latino7.0%
RaceTwo or more races6.8%
OriginForeign-born5.1%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home88.2%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home4.3%
EducationHigh school or higher59.4%
EducationBachelor's or higher25.5%
EducationAdvanced degree8.4%
HouseholdFamily households65.2%
HouseholdAvg household size2.50
HouseholdNever married (15+)29.9%
HousingMedian home value$201,600
HousingMedian gross rent$954
HousingSingle-family detached76.8%
HousingBuilt before 19404.6%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)1.8%
HousingVacant units9.2%
ServiceVeterans (18+)6.3%
HealthWith a disability13.6%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband87.9%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet9.6%
CommuteDrove alone77.0%
CommutePublic transit0.5%
CommuteWorked from home8.0%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2026$3$250$1,098$1,114,000$0
2024$1,344,166$1,342,821$1,345$1,114,000$212,193

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 20.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%
open seat-5.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

CycleSupportOpposeIEs
2024$0$392,86821

Recent (latest 25)

DateSpenderFor / againstAmountPurpose
2024-05-01CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTIONoppose$30Radio ad costs (from advance line 21)
2024-05-01CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTIONoppose$212TV ad production (from advance line 21)
2024-05-01CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTIONoppose$181Phone/Text Messaging (from advance line 21)
2024-04-29CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTIONoppose$3,478Radio ad placement
2024-04-29CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTIONoppose$111,669TV ad placement
2024-04-29CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTIONoppose$9,713TV ad production
2024-04-24CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTIONoppose$181Phone/Text messaging (from advance line 21)
2024-04-24CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTIONoppose$586TV ad production (from advance line 21)
2024-04-24CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTIONoppose$56Radio ad costs (from advance line 21)
2024-04-22CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTIONoppose$7,697Phone/Text messaging
2024-04-22CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTIONoppose$3,478Radio ad placement
2024-04-22CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTIONoppose$100Phone/Text messaging
2024-04-22CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTIONoppose$111,519TV ad placement
2024-04-22CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTIONoppose$7,697Phone/Text Messaging
2024-04-22CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTIONoppose$9,632TV ad production
2024-04-17CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTIONoppose$343TV ad production (from advance line 21)
2024-04-17CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTIONoppose$83Radio ad production (from advance line 21)
2024-04-15CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTIONoppose$1,445Radio ad production
2024-04-15CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTIONoppose$111,519TV ad placement
2024-04-15CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTIONoppose$9,770TV ad production
2024-04-15CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTIONoppose$3,478Radio ad placement

Connected on the graph

Inbound (21)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
2024-05-01CLUB FOR GROWTHopposes_independently$30fec_ies
2024-05-01CLUB FOR GROWTHopposes_independently$212fec_ies
2024-05-01CLUB FOR GROWTHopposes_independently$181fec_ies
2024-04-29CLUB FOR GROWTHopposes_independently$3,478fec_ies
2024-04-29CLUB FOR GROWTHopposes_independently$111,669fec_ies
2024-04-29CLUB FOR GROWTHopposes_independently$9,713fec_ies
2024-04-24CLUB FOR GROWTHopposes_independently$181fec_ies
2024-04-24CLUB FOR GROWTHopposes_independently$586fec_ies
2024-04-24CLUB FOR GROWTHopposes_independently$56fec_ies
2024-04-22CLUB FOR GROWTHopposes_independently$7,697fec_ies
2024-04-22CLUB FOR GROWTHopposes_independently$3,478fec_ies
2024-04-22CLUB FOR GROWTHopposes_independently$100fec_ies
2024-04-22CLUB FOR GROWTHopposes_independently$111,519fec_ies
2024-04-22CLUB FOR GROWTHopposes_independently$7,697fec_ies
2024-04-22CLUB FOR GROWTHopposes_independently$9,632fec_ies
2024-04-17CLUB FOR GROWTHopposes_independently$343fec_ies
2024-04-17CLUB FOR GROWTHopposes_independently$83fec_ies
2024-04-15CLUB FOR GROWTHopposes_independently$1,445fec_ies
2024-04-15CLUB FOR GROWTHopposes_independently$111,519fec_ies
2024-04-15CLUB FOR GROWTHopposes_independently$9,770fec_ies
2024-04-15CLUB FOR GROWTHopposes_independently$3,478fec_ies

Outbound (1)

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β€”principal_candidate_ofSMITH FOR CONGRESSβ€”candidate_committees

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