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SCENIAK, JAMES MICHAEL

L Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H4IN06219
Internal id
a34a49e5-8c59-4990-badd-7ca1630ebaae
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), IN-06. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation763,862
PeopleMedian age38
IncomeMedian household income$76,875
IncomePer-capita income$39,008
IncomeIn poverty10.9%
IncomeUnemployed3.6%
IncomeGini inequality index0.433
RaceWhite alone81.1%
RaceBlack alone5.1%
RaceAsian alone5.4%
RaceHispanic or Latino5.7%
RaceTwo or more races5.9%
OriginForeign-born7.4%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home90.0%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home4.0%
EducationHigh school or higher61.5%
EducationBachelor's or higher28.8%
EducationAdvanced degree10.3%
HouseholdFamily households66.1%
HouseholdAvg household size2.51
HouseholdNever married (15+)29.2%
HousingMedian home value$228,900
HousingMedian gross rent$1,088
HousingSingle-family detached75.1%
HousingBuilt before 19404.2%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)1.8%
HousingVacant units6.5%
ServiceVeterans (18+)6.7%
HealthWith a disability14.4%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband92.0%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet6.0%
CommuteDrove alone76.8%
CommutePublic transit0.3%
CommuteWorked from home11.8%

Elections

Committees

No committees on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 15.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

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