SWAIN, JOSEPH MILFORD MR
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4KS02156- Internal id
2f8dcb3a-7603-44e5-920e-0baab99d6819- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), KS-02. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 732,657 |
| People | Median age | 38 |
| Income | Median household income | $65,594 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $34,498 |
| Income | In poverty | 13.3% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.2% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.434 |
| Race | White alone | 73.6% |
| Race | Black alone | 7.6% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.9% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 13.5% |
| Race | Two or more races | 11.0% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 6.1% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 89.6% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 7.7% |
| Education | High school or higher | 58.6% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 27.9% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 10.4% |
| Household | Family households | 63.6% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.44 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 30.2% |
| Housing | Median home value | $166,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $954 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 74.7% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 5.2% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.6% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 10.8% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 8.4% |
| Health | With a disability | 15.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 88.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 8.7% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 76.9% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.4% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 8.8% |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· KS-2 β lost_general
Committees
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.