MARSHALL, ERIN
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4KY01081- Internal id
6a653320-e561-4e79-a33f-86be69244da8- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), KY-01. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 753,971 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $58,027 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $31,470 |
| Income | In poverty | 17.0% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.6% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.458 |
| Race | White alone | 85.6% |
| Race | Black alone | 6.7% |
| Race | Asian alone | 0.7% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 4.1% |
| Race | Two or more races | 5.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 2.2% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 95.3% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 2.3% |
| Education | High school or higher | 58.3% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 21.0% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 8.5% |
| Household | Family households | 64.7% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.42 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 27.7% |
| Housing | Median home value | $167,700 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $839 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 72.0% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.3% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.0% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 13.5% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.0% |
| Health | With a disability | 20.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 85.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 10.9% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 79.0% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 7.1% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $248,478 | $248,478 | $0 | $0 | $237,978 |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· KY-1 β lost_general
Committees
- ERIN FOR KY β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $2,340 | $0 | 1 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-08 | INDIVISIBLE PROJECT INC. | support | $2,340 | Billboard |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (1)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-08 | INDIVISIBLE PROJECT INC. | supports_independently | $2,340 | fec_ies |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | ERIN FOR KY | β | candidate_committees |