ORMEROD, DENNY
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4KY03285- Internal id
3b126e95-418a-4a3a-b46b-5d68f1402108- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), KY-03. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 748,522 |
| People | Median age | 38 |
| Income | Median household income | $68,047 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $40,938 |
| Income | In poverty | 14.8% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.3% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.478 |
| Race | White alone | 62.4% |
| Race | Black alone | 21.4% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.0% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 8.8% |
| Race | Two or more races | 10.4% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 10.1% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 87.0% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 6.9% |
| Education | High school or higher | 62.3% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 36.0% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 15.0% |
| Household | Family households | 57.2% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.30 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 37.0% |
| Housing | Median home value | $239,900 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,147 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 63.2% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 6.4% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.0% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 8.0% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.2% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.4% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 72.4% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.6% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 13.8% |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· KY-3 β lost_general
Committees
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.