LYNCH, CHRISTY MS
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4LA02145- Internal id
8e7fda47-8c2f-4964-a153-2ec3e9cf9826- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), LA-02. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 763,550 |
| People | Median age | 38 |
| Income | Median household income | $55,374 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $33,012 |
| Income | In poverty | 21.1% |
| Income | Unemployed | 7.8% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.504 |
| Race | White alone | 34.0% |
| Race | Black alone | 50.0% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.6% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 10.6% |
| Race | Two or more races | 8.4% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 8.1% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 87.6% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 7.9% |
| Education | High school or higher | 56.8% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 27.6% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 11.1% |
| Household | Family households | 57.9% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.47 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 42.7% |
| Housing | Median home value | $227,800 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,183 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 58.6% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 5.0% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.3% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 15.0% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 5.1% |
| Health | With a disability | 16.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 86.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 10.6% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 72.0% |
| Commute | Public transit | 2.6% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 9.9% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $0 | $488 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2024 | $41,709 | $41,221 | $488 | $0 | $31,909 |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· LA-2 β lost_general
Committees
- CHRISTY LYNCH FOR LA CONGRESSIONAL DIST 2 β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | CHRISTY LYNCH FOR LA CONGRESSIONAL DIST 2 | β | candidate_committees |