JONES, MICHAEL MR.
R Β· house
Sign in to add to a watchlist β
- FEC candidate id
H4MA10092- Internal id
a3ce9ec2-1f01-4570-9422-0794f52fba3b- Status
- challenger
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | $15,833 | $16,071 | $436 | $24,800 | $5,329 |
| 2004 | $263,477 | $262,804 | $673 | $20,000 | $195,592 |
Elections
- 2004 general house Β· MA-10 β lost_general
Committees
- JONES FOR U.S. CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | JONES FOR U.S. CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |