SOBOLESKI, MIKE
R Β· house
Sign in to add to a watchlist β
- FEC candidate id
H4ME02283- Internal id
63c4d6bc-69a3-4eaa-b8a8-06241e730065- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), ME-02. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 692,100 |
| People | Median age | 45 |
| Income | Median household income | $64,428 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $37,355 |
| Income | In poverty | 13.5% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.2% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.450 |
| Race | White alone | 91.7% |
| Race | Black alone | 1.6% |
| Race | Asian alone | 0.8% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 1.9% |
| Race | Two or more races | 4.5% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 3.3% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 94.0% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 0.9% |
| Education | High school or higher | 63.4% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 28.4% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 10.3% |
| Household | Family households | 60.0% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.24 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 28.8% |
| Housing | Median home value | $218,700 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $959 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 71.4% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.3% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.7% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 23.3% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 8.9% |
| Health | With a disability | 18.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 88.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 8.7% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 73.7% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 12.7% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $129,715 | $129,715 | $0 | $0 | $115,329 |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· ME-2 β lost_general
Committees
- MIKE SOBOLESKI FOR CONGRESS INC β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $106,016 | $0 | 3 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-07 | CONSERVATIVE OUTSIDER PAC INC | support | $23,922 | TEXT MESSAGING |
| 2024-06-05 | CONSERVATIVE OUTSIDER PAC INC | support | $79,595 | RADIO AD PLACEMENT |
| 2024-06-05 | CONSERVATIVE OUTSIDER PAC INC | support | $2,500 | RADIO AD PRODUCTION |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (3)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-07 | CONSERVATIVE OUTSIDER PAC | supports_independently | $23,922 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-05 | CONSERVATIVE OUTSIDER PAC | supports_independently | $79,595 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-05 | CONSERVATIVE OUTSIDER PAC | supports_independently | $2,500 | fec_ies |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | MIKE SOBOLESKI FOR CONGRESS INC | β | candidate_committees |