HERTEL, CURTIS JR.
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4MI07210- Internal id
a0621ff5-c87f-438f-ac5c-62ce508b37be- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MI-07. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 778,561 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $80,357 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $43,559 |
| Income | In poverty | 10.7% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.7% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.448 |
| Race | White alone | 81.6% |
| Race | Black alone | 5.6% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.5% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 5.9% |
| Race | Two or more races | 7.2% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 5.7% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 92.2% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 2.3% |
| Education | High school or higher | 61.9% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 37.6% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 14.5% |
| Household | Family households | 62.3% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.41 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 33.5% |
| Housing | Median home value | $256,700 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,106 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 70.2% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.7% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.2% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 5.9% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 5.8% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 91.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.0% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 72.1% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.1% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 16.1% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $71 | $3,740 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2024 | $7,656,060 | $7,652,532 | $3,638 | $0 | $6,011,246 |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· MI-7 β lost_general
Committees
- HERTEL FOR MICHIGAN β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $17,960 | $0 | 2 |
| 2024 | $1,024,387 | $2,579,787 | 87 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | LCV VICTORY FUND | support | $16,667 | ESTIMATE: Phone Banking |
| β | LCV VICTORY FUND | support | $5,400 | ESTIMATE: Palm Cards |
| β | LCV VICTORY FUND | support | $5,761 | ESTIMATE: Door Hangers |
| β | LCV VICTORY FUND | support | $115 | ESTIMATE: Stickers |
| β | LCV VICTORY FUND | support | $58,489 | Canvassing Services |
| β | LCV VICTORY FUND | support | $12,560 | ESTIMATE: Direct Mail Production & Postage |
| β | HMP | support | $56,367 | Direct Mail - Estimate |
| β | LCV VICTORY FUND | support | $15,091 | Direct Mail Production & Postage |
| β | LCV VICTORY FUND | support | $77,985 | Canvassing Services |
| β | LCV VICTORY FUND | support | $12,182 | ESTIMATE: Direct Mail Production & Postage |
| β | FOR OUR FUTURE | support | $8 | Email (Estimate) |
| β | LCV VICTORY FUND | support | $8,625 | ESTIMATE: Canvassing Literature |
| β | LCV VICTORY FUND | support | $5,761 | ESTIMATE: Door Hangers |
| β | LCV VICTORY FUND | support | $889 | ESTIMATE: Phone Banking |
| β | FOR OUR FUTURE | support | $8,600 | Field Canvassing (Estimate) |
| β | FOR OUR FUTURE | support | $47,533 | Field Canvassing (Estimate) |
| β | HMP | support | $67,119 | Direct Mail - Estimate |
| β | HMP | support | $56,382 | Direct Mail - Estimate |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTIβ¦ | oppose | $195,000 | MEDIA PLACEMENT |
| β | FOR OUR FUTURE | support | $4,655 | Canvassing Literature (Estimate) |
| β | LCV VICTORY FUND | support | $15,091 | ESTIMATE: Direct Mail Production & Postage |
| β | LCV VICTORY FUND | support | $56 | ESTIMATE: Stickers |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTIβ¦ | oppose | $3,875 | MEDIA PRODUCTION |
| β | FOR OUR FUTURE | support | $100 | Digital Advertising (Estimate) |
| β | SOMOS PAC | support | $3,207 | Direct Mail - Estimate |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (89)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | LCV VICTORY FUND | supports_independently | $12,560 | fec_ies | |
| β | LCV VICTORY FUND | supports_independently | $5,400 | fec_ies | |
| β | SOMOS PAC | supports_independently | $3,207 | fec_ies | |
| β | LCV VICTORY FUND | supports_independently | $56 | fec_ies | |
| β | LCV VICTORY FUND | supports_independently | $15,091 | fec_ies | |
| β | LCV VICTORY FUND | supports_independently | $77,985 | fec_ies | |
| β | LCV VICTORY FUND | supports_independently | $15,091 | fec_ies | |
| β | LCV VICTORY FUND | supports_independently | $8,625 | fec_ies | |
| β | LCV VICTORY FUND | supports_independently | $58,489 | fec_ies | |
| β | LCV VICTORY FUND | supports_independently | $5,761 | fec_ies | |
| β | LCV VICTORY FUND | supports_independently | $889 | fec_ies | |
| β | LCV VICTORY FUND | supports_independently | $12,182 | fec_ies | |
| β | LCV VICTORY FUND | supports_independently | $5,761 | fec_ies | |
| β | LCV VICTORY FUND | supports_independently | $12,560 | fec_ies | |
| β | LCV VICTORY FUND | supports_independently | $5,400 | fec_ies | |
| β | LCV VICTORY FUND | supports_independently | $115 | fec_ies | |
| β | LCV VICTORY FUND | supports_independently | $16,667 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | supports_independently | $56,382 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | supports_independently | $67,119 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | supports_independently | $56,367 | fec_ies | |
| β | FOR OUR FUTURE | supports_independently | $100 | fec_ies | |
| β | FOR OUR FUTURE | supports_independently | $4,655 | fec_ies | |
| β | FOR OUR FUTURE | supports_independently | $47,533 | fec_ies | |
| β | FOR OUR FUTURE | supports_independently | $8 | fec_ies | |
| β | FOR OUR FUTURE | supports_independently | $8,600 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | opposes_independently | $195,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | opposes_independently | $3,875 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-11-22 | CLEAN WAVE | supports_independently | $1,375 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-11-22 | CLEAN WAVE | supports_independently | $1,875 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-11-05 | CLEAN WAVE | supports_independently | $2,500 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-11-05 | CLEAN WAVE | supports_independently | $1,125 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-11-05 | CLEAN WAVE | supports_independently | $500 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-11-05 | CLEAN WAVE | supports_independently | $625 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-11-01 | WORKING AMERICA | supports_independently | $1,562 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-31 | CLEAN WAVE | supports_independently | $1,563 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-31 | CLEAN WAVE | supports_independently | $938 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-31 | CLEAN WAVE | supports_independently | $500 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-31 | CLEAN WAVE | supports_independently | $875 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-31 | CLEAN WAVE | supports_independently | $1,188 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-31 | CLEAN WAVE | supports_independently | $1,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-31 | CLEAN WAVE | supports_independently | $2,125 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-31 | CLEAN WAVE | supports_independently | $375 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-31 | CLEAN WAVE | supports_independently | $1,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-31 | CLEAN WAVE | supports_independently | $1,625 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-31 | CLEAN WAVE | supports_independently | $1,313 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-30 | NRCC | opposes_independently | $34,017 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-29 | WORKING AMERICA | supports_independently | $1,589 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-26 | WORKING AMERICA | supports_independently | $10,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-25 | CLEAN WAVE | supports_independently | $1,125 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-25 | CLEAN WAVE | supports_independently | $750 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-25 | CLEAN WAVE | supports_independently | $813 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-25 | CLEAN WAVE | supports_independently | $1,125 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-24 | NRCC | opposes_independently | $323,064 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-23 | WORKING AMERICA | supports_independently | $2,500 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-22 | AFSCME WORKING FAMILIES FUND | supports_independently | $4,958 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-18 | CLEAN WAVE | supports_independently | $1,063 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-18 | NRCC | opposes_independently | $79,050 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-18 | CLEAN WAVE | supports_independently | $750 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-18 | CLEAN WAVE | supports_independently | $1,125 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-18 | CLEAN WAVE | supports_independently | $875 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-18 | NRCC | opposes_independently | $209,250 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-17 | NRCC | opposes_independently | $274,350 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-15 | NRCC | opposes_independently | $1,500 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-11 | CLEAN WAVE | supports_independently | $1,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-11 | NRCC | opposes_independently | $720,605 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-11 | CLEAN WAVE | supports_independently | $875 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-11 | CLEAN WAVE | supports_independently | $875 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-11 | CLEAN WAVE | supports_independently | $1,125 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-11 | CLEAN WAVE | supports_independently | $1,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-10 | NRCC | opposes_independently | $12,500 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-10 | NRCC | opposes_independently | $280,221 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-09 | WORKING AMERICA | supports_independently | $4 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-09 | WORKING AMERICA | supports_independently | $23 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-08 | NRCC | opposes_independently | $23,547 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-04 | CLEAN WAVE | supports_independently | $1,188 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-04 | CLEAN WAVE | supports_independently | $875 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-04 | CLEAN WAVE | supports_independently | $1,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-04 | CLEAN WAVE | supports_independently | $1,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-04 | NRCC | opposes_independently | $422,808 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-04 | CLEAN WAVE | supports_independently | $1,250 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-02 | WORKING AMERICA | supports_independently | $168 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-02 | WORKING AMERICA | supports_independently | $61 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-02 | WORKING AMERICA | supports_independently | $125 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-01 | LCV VICTORY FUND | supports_independently | $97,378 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-09-27 | LCV VICTORY FUND | supports_independently | $465 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-09-24 | AFSCME WORKING FAMILIES FUND | supports_independently | $6,594 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-09-24 | AFSCME WORKING FAMILIES FUND | supports_independently | $191,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-09-24 | AFSCME WORKING FAMILIES FUND | supports_independently | $191,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-09-06 | LCV VICTORY FUND | supports_independently | $5 | fec_ies |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | HERTEL FOR MICHIGAN | β | candidate_committees |