MOUTOUX, BRIAN IAN
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4NC01111- Internal id
734e8410-4257-45cc-84ce-87ef0efa426d- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NC-01. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 747,584 |
| People | Median age | 42 |
| Income | Median household income | $56,285 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $31,830 |
| Income | In poverty | 17.6% |
| Income | Unemployed | 6.2% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.465 |
| Race | White alone | 48.4% |
| Race | Black alone | 39.1% |
| Race | Asian alone | 0.8% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 8.2% |
| Race | Two or more races | 7.1% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 4.5% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 91.7% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 6.8% |
| Education | High school or higher | 53.8% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 20.3% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 6.7% |
| Household | Family households | 64.7% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.38 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 33.5% |
| Housing | Median home value | $167,000 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $907 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 65.1% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.0% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.4% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 15.3% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 8.7% |
| Health | With a disability | 17.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 84.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 13.3% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 79.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 7.5% |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· NC-1 β lost_general
Committees
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.