VON CANON, FRED
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4NC01129- Internal id
8a0fe4a7-9864-4933-9424-eefa530aab40- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NC-13. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 792,542 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $81,810 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $39,879 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.5% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.1% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.443 |
| Race | White alone | 64.5% |
| Race | Black alone | 18.8% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.1% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 14.0% |
| Race | Two or more races | 8.6% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 7.5% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 87.2% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 10.7% |
| Education | High school or higher | 57.6% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 31.5% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 10.5% |
| Household | Family households | 72.6% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.68 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 28.3% |
| Housing | Median home value | $305,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,098 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 75.2% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 2.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.3% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 7.8% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 8.2% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 88.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.7% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 74.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.1% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 15.6% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $50 | $474 | $2,983 | $2,970,500 | $50 |
| 2024 | $3,332,387 | $3,328,980 | $3,407 | $2,970,500 | $124,887 |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· NC-13 β lost_general
Committees
- FRED VON CANON FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $0 | $757,844 | 20 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-01 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | oppose | $592 | Advertising Production |
| 2024-02-29 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | oppose | $10,000 | Radio Advertising |
| 2024-02-28 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | oppose | $77,500 | Broadcast Media |
| 2024-02-28 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | oppose | $55,000 | Broadcast Media |
| 2024-02-28 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | oppose | $10,000 | Digital Media |
| 2024-02-27 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | oppose | $16,660 | Direct Mail |
| 2024-02-27 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | oppose | $16,660 | Direct Mail |
| 2024-02-26 | CONSERVATIVE VOTERS ALLIANCE | oppose | $237,000 | IE-Von Canon-Media Buy |
| 2024-02-26 | CONSERVATIVE VOTERS ALLIANCE | oppose | $12,000 | IE-Von Canon-Media Production |
| 2024-02-21 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | oppose | $3,900 | Digital Media |
| 2024-02-21 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | oppose | $70,977 | Broadcast Media |
| 2024-02-20 | CONSERVATIVE VOTERS ALLIANCE | oppose | $44,702 | IE-Von Canon-Direct Mail |
| 2024-02-20 | CONSERVATIVE VOTERS ALLIANCE | oppose | $35,035 | IE-Von Canon-Direct Mail |
| 2024-02-20 | CONSERVATIVE VOTERS ALLIANCE | oppose | $44,702 | IE-Von Canon-Direct Mail |
| 2024-02-19 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | oppose | $16,660 | Direct Mail |
| 2024-02-16 | CONSERVATIVE VOTERS ALLIANCE | oppose | $2,500 | IE-Von Canon-Media Production |
| 2024-02-15 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | oppose | $12,586 | Advertising Production |
| 2024-02-13 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | oppose | $3,900 | Digital Media |
| 2024-02-13 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | oppose | $70,977 | Broadcast Media |
| 2024-02-12 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | oppose | $16,492 | Direct Mail |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (20)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-01 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | opposes_independently | $592 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-29 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | opposes_independently | $10,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-28 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | opposes_independently | $77,500 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-28 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | opposes_independently | $55,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-28 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | opposes_independently | $10,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-27 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | opposes_independently | $16,660 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-27 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | opposes_independently | $16,660 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-26 | CONSERVATIVE VOTERS ALLIANCE | opposes_independently | $237,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-26 | CONSERVATIVE VOTERS ALLIANCE | opposes_independently | $12,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-21 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | opposes_independently | $3,900 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-21 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | opposes_independently | $70,977 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-20 | CONSERVATIVE VOTERS ALLIANCE | opposes_independently | $44,702 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-20 | CONSERVATIVE VOTERS ALLIANCE | opposes_independently | $35,035 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-20 | CONSERVATIVE VOTERS ALLIANCE | opposes_independently | $44,702 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-19 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | opposes_independently | $16,660 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-16 | CONSERVATIVE VOTERS ALLIANCE | opposes_independently | $2,500 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-15 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | opposes_independently | $12,586 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-13 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | opposes_independently | $3,900 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-13 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | opposes_independently | $70,977 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-12 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | opposes_independently | $16,492 | fec_ies |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | FRED VON CANON FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |