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MEILLEUR, GUY

L Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H4NC04149
Internal id
59ee71ce-44c0-4929-a5b1-ffd112aca884
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NC-04. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation769,729
PeopleMedian age37
IncomeMedian household income$102,949
IncomePer-capita income$54,877
IncomeIn poverty9.1%
IncomeUnemployed3.7%
IncomeGini inequality index0.460
RaceWhite alone54.6%
RaceBlack alone19.2%
RaceAsian alone11.0%
RaceHispanic or Latino11.6%
RaceTwo or more races9.2%
OriginForeign-born16.8%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home78.7%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home9.0%
EducationHigh school or higher74.3%
EducationBachelor's or higher61.4%
EducationAdvanced degree29.9%
HouseholdFamily households63.4%
HouseholdAvg household size2.45
HouseholdNever married (15+)35.2%
HousingMedian home value$463,000
HousingMedian gross rent$1,595
HousingSingle-family detached60.9%
HousingBuilt before 19402.1%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)2.1%
HousingVacant units6.7%
ServiceVeterans (18+)5.1%
HealthWith a disability9.2%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband94.7%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet3.3%
CommuteDrove alone59.4%
CommutePublic transit1.6%
CommuteWorked from home28.2%

Elections

Committees

No committees on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 15.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

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