COBLE, JOHN HOWARD
R Β· house Β· bioguide C000556
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- FEC candidate id
H4NC06011- Internal id
9d357f1f-60a0-4785-af02-5573095c8819- Status
- incumbent
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NC-06. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 769,663 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $68,629 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $37,171 |
| Income | In poverty | 13.5% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.7% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.453 |
| Race | White alone | 62.6% |
| Race | Black alone | 19.1% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.8% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 11.8% |
| Race | Two or more races | 8.8% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 9.6% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 85.2% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 9.3% |
| Education | High school or higher | 58.2% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 30.2% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 10.5% |
| Household | Family households | 65.2% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.45 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 32.0% |
| Housing | Median home value | $247,400 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,101 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 68.6% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.9% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.6% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 8.3% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.9% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.8% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 77.0% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.4% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 11.4% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | $90,141 | $168,729 | $0 | $0 | $21,586 |
| 2012 | $531,611 | $639,503 | $78,560 | $0 | $154,723 |
| 2010 | $503,434 | $925,991 | $181,092 | $0 | $130,183 |
| 2008 | $569,689 | $688,823 | $603,649 | $0 | $139,311 |
| 2006 | $457,916 | $552,276 | $722,781 | $0 | $56,414 |
| 2004 | $419,939 | $400,498 | $823,087 | $0 | $89,433 |
| 2002 | $387,938 | $282,521 | $803,646 | $0 | $45,607 |
| 2000 | $566,281 | $301,790 | $664,302 | $0 | $77,142 |
| 1998 | $630,224 | $401,604 | $399,733 | $0 | $225,657 |
| 1996 | $592,230 | $498,224 | $171,113 | $0 | $359,859 |
| 1994 | $343,124 | $350,981 | $77,109 | $0 | $198,187 |
| 1992 | $504,213 | $435,093 | $84,967 | $0 | $280,156 |
| 1990 | $572,043 | $572,846 | $15,846 | $0 | $332,236 |
| 1988 | $736,254 | $738,088 | $16,650 | $0 | $420,782 |
| 1986 | $595,301 | $585,703 | $18,486 | $2,000 | $0 |
| 1984 | $382,482 | $372,309 | $13,434 | $42,611 | $163,686 |
Elections
- 1984 general house Β· NC-6 β won
- 1986 general house Β· NC-6 β won
- 1988 general house Β· NC-6 β won
- 1990 general house Β· NC-6 β won
- 1992 general house Β· NC-6 β won
- 1994 general house Β· NC-6 β won
- 1996 general house Β· NC-6 β won
- 1998 general house Β· NC-6 β won
- 2000 general house Β· NC-6 β won
- 2002 general house Β· NC-6 β won
- 2004 general house Β· NC-6 β won
- 2006 general house Β· NC-6 β won
- 2008 general house Β· NC-6 β won
- 2010 general house Β· NC-6 β won
- 2012 general house Β· NC-6 β won
- 2014 general house Β· NC-6 β lost_general
Committees
- COBLE FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
- COBLE-ELLMERS MAJORITY COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type H
Recent votes
No votes on file.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
No sponsorships on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 99.0%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| incumbent | +78.0% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | COBLE-ELLMERS MAJORITY COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | COBLE FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |