HAYES, KEVIN E.
OTHER Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4NC06193- Internal id
5d890be7-2ca2-4779-982a-a0125526a72b- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NC-06. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 769,663 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $68,629 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $37,171 |
| Income | In poverty | 13.5% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.7% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.453 |
| Race | White alone | 62.6% |
| Race | Black alone | 19.1% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.8% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 11.8% |
| Race | Two or more races | 8.8% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 9.6% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 85.2% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 9.3% |
| Education | High school or higher | 58.2% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 30.2% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 10.5% |
| Household | Family households | 65.2% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.45 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 32.0% |
| Housing | Median home value | $247,400 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,101 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 68.6% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.9% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.6% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 8.3% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.9% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.8% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 77.0% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.4% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 11.4% |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· NC-6 β lost_general
Committees
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 15.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.