BRADFORD, JOHN R III
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4NC08090- Internal id
7ce163c7-9c64-4b21-b8df-88c76013778e- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NC-08. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 765,329 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $81,221 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $42,468 |
| Income | In poverty | 12.2% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.9% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.489 |
| Race | White alone | 61.6% |
| Race | Black alone | 16.9% |
| Race | Asian alone | 4.0% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 9.7% |
| Race | Two or more races | 7.1% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 9.2% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 86.7% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 7.5% |
| Education | High school or higher | 60.4% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 35.0% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 12.4% |
| Household | Family households | 72.6% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.71 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 30.8% |
| Housing | Median home value | $336,400 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,129 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 75.2% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.0% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.4% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 9.6% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.2% |
| Health | With a disability | 12.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.5% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 72.8% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 16.5% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $1,521,089 | $0 |
| 2024 | $2,046,259 | $2,046,259 | $0 | $1,521,089 | $356,419 |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· NC-8 β lost_general
Committees
- BRADFORD FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $530,840 | $82,050 | 9 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-04 | BETTER AMERICA UNDER CONSERVATIVES PAC, INC. | oppose | $2,050 | TEXT MESSAGES |
| 2024-02-29 | BETTER AMERICA UNDER CONSERVATIVES PAC, INC. | oppose | $30,000 | DIGITAL ADVERTISING AND PRODUCTION COST: DIGITAL ADS |
| 2024-02-29 | BETTER AMERICA UNDER CONSERVATIVES PAC, INC. | oppose | $30,000 | DIGITAL ADVERTISING AND PRODUCTION COST: DIGITAL ADS |
| 2024-02-29 | BETTER AMERICA UNDER CONSERVATIVES PAC, INC. | oppose | $6,000 | PRODUCTION COST: DIGITAL ADS |
| 2024-02-29 | BETTER AMERICA UNDER CONSERVATIVES PAC, INC. | oppose | $4,000 | PRODUCTION COST: DIGITAL ADS |
| 2024-02-29 | BETTER AMERICA UNDER CONSERVATIVES PAC, INC. | oppose | $4,000 | PRODUCTION COST: DIGITAL ADS |
| 2024-02-29 | BETTER AMERICA UNDER CONSERVATIVES PAC, INC. | oppose | $6,000 | PRODUCTION COST: DIGITAL ADS |
| 2024-02-27 | DEFEND AMERICAN JOBS | support | $7,057 | IE-Bradford-Media Production |
| 2024-02-23 | DEFEND AMERICAN JOBS | support | $523,783 | IE-Bradford-Media Buy |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (9)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-04 | BETTER AMERICA UNDER CONSERVATIVES PAC, INC. | opposes_independently | $2,050 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-29 | BETTER AMERICA UNDER CONSERVATIVES PAC, INC. | opposes_independently | $30,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-29 | BETTER AMERICA UNDER CONSERVATIVES PAC, INC. | opposes_independently | $30,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-29 | BETTER AMERICA UNDER CONSERVATIVES PAC, INC. | opposes_independently | $6,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-29 | BETTER AMERICA UNDER CONSERVATIVES PAC, INC. | opposes_independently | $4,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-29 | BETTER AMERICA UNDER CONSERVATIVES PAC, INC. | opposes_independently | $4,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-29 | BETTER AMERICA UNDER CONSERVATIVES PAC, INC. | opposes_independently | $6,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-27 | DEFEND AMERICAN JOBS | supports_independently | $7,057 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-23 | DEFEND AMERICAN JOBS | supports_independently | $523,783 | fec_ies |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | BRADFORD FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |