DAUGHTRY, KELLY
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4NC13140- Internal id
5a3788d5-40ca-4d2b-8b6f-a083952973d3- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NC-13. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 792,542 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $81,810 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $39,879 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.5% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.1% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.443 |
| Race | White alone | 64.5% |
| Race | Black alone | 18.8% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.1% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 14.0% |
| Race | Two or more races | 8.6% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 7.5% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 87.2% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 10.7% |
| Education | High school or higher | 57.6% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 31.5% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 10.5% |
| Household | Family households | 72.6% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.68 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 28.3% |
| Housing | Median home value | $305,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,098 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 75.2% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 2.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.3% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 7.8% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 8.2% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 88.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.7% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 74.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.1% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 15.6% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $4,507,302 | $4,507,302 | $0 | $0 | $143,189 |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· NC-13 β lost_general
Committees
- KELLY DAUGHTRY FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $189,867 | $678,086 | 48 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-26 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | oppose | $45,000 | Broadcast Media |
| 2024-04-26 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | oppose | $5,000 | Digital Media |
| 2024-04-24 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | oppose | $38,215 | Direct Mail |
| 2024-04-19 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | oppose | $19,108 | Direct Mail |
| 2024-04-18 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | oppose | $6,536 | Advertising Production |
| 2024-04-18 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | oppose | $105,933 | Broadcast Media |
| 2024-04-18 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | oppose | $19,108 | Direct Mail |
| 2024-04-18 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | oppose | $19,067 | Digital Media |
| 2024-04-15 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | oppose | $19,108 | Direct Mail |
| 2024-04-12 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | oppose | $19,108 | Direct Mail |
| 2024-04-09 | CONSERVATIVE VOTERS ALLIANCE | support | $54,325 | IE-Daughtry-Direct Mail |
| 2024-04-09 | CONSERVATIVE VOTERS ALLIANCE | support | $1,008 | IE-Daughtry-Palm Cards |
| 2024-04-09 | CONSERVATIVE VOTERS ALLIANCE | support | $13,167 | IE-Daughtry-Voter Guide |
| 2024-04-06 | CONSERVATIVE VOTERS ALLIANCE | support | $14,447 | IE-Daughtry-Canvassing |
| 2024-04-04 | CONSERVATIVE VOTERS ALLIANCE | support | $23,803 | IE-Daughtry-Direct Mail |
| 2024-04-02 | CONSERVATIVE VOTERS ALLIANCE | support | $3,000 | IE-Daughtry-Canvassing |
| 2024-03-11 | CONSERVATIVE VOTERS ALLIANCE | support | $2,667 | IE-Daughtry-Canvassing |
| 2024-03-01 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | oppose | $592 | Advertising Production |
| 2024-02-29 | CONSERVATIVE VOTERS ALLIANCE | support | $2,167 | IE-Daughtry-Canvassing |
| 2024-02-29 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | oppose | $10,000 | Radio Advertising |
| 2024-02-28 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | oppose | $10,000 | Digital Media |
| 2024-02-28 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | oppose | $55,000 | Broadcast Media |
| 2024-02-28 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | oppose | $77,500 | Broadcast Media |
| 2024-02-27 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | oppose | $16,660 | Direct Mail |
| 2024-02-27 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | oppose | $16,660 | Direct Mail |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (48)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-26 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | opposes_independently | $45,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-04-26 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | opposes_independently | $5,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-04-24 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | opposes_independently | $38,215 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-04-19 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | opposes_independently | $19,108 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-04-18 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | opposes_independently | $19,067 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-04-18 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | opposes_independently | $19,108 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-04-18 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | opposes_independently | $105,933 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-04-18 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | opposes_independently | $6,536 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-04-15 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | opposes_independently | $19,108 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-04-12 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | opposes_independently | $19,108 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-04-09 | CONSERVATIVE VOTERS ALLIANCE | supports_independently | $1,008 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-04-09 | CONSERVATIVE VOTERS ALLIANCE | supports_independently | $54,325 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-04-09 | CONSERVATIVE VOTERS ALLIANCE | supports_independently | $13,167 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-04-06 | CONSERVATIVE VOTERS ALLIANCE | supports_independently | $14,447 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-04-04 | CONSERVATIVE VOTERS ALLIANCE | supports_independently | $23,803 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-04-02 | CONSERVATIVE VOTERS ALLIANCE | supports_independently | $3,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-11 | CONSERVATIVE VOTERS ALLIANCE | supports_independently | $2,667 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-01 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | opposes_independently | $592 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-29 | CONSERVATIVE VOTERS ALLIANCE | supports_independently | $2,167 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-29 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | opposes_independently | $10,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-28 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | opposes_independently | $10,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-28 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | opposes_independently | $77,500 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-28 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | opposes_independently | $55,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-27 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | opposes_independently | $16,660 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-27 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | opposes_independently | $16,660 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-21 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | opposes_independently | $3,900 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-21 | CONSERVATIVE VOTERS ALLIANCE | supports_independently | $200 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-21 | CONSERVATIVE VOTERS ALLIANCE | supports_independently | $2,083 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-21 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | opposes_independently | $70,977 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-20 | CONSERVATIVE VOTERS ALLIANCE | supports_independently | $933 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-19 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | opposes_independently | $16,660 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-16 | CONSERVATIVE VOTERS ALLIANCE | supports_independently | $2,500 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-16 | CONSERVATIVE VOTERS ALLIANCE | supports_independently | $2,941 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-16 | CONSERVATIVE VOTERS ALLIANCE | supports_independently | $200 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-16 | CONSERVATIVE VOTERS ALLIANCE | supports_independently | $451 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-16 | CONSERVATIVE VOTERS ALLIANCE | supports_independently | $824 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-16 | CONSERVATIVE VOTERS ALLIANCE | supports_independently | $1,200 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-16 | CONSERVATIVE VOTERS ALLIANCE | supports_independently | $1,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-16 | CONSERVATIVE VOTERS ALLIANCE | supports_independently | $13,357 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-16 | CONSERVATIVE VOTERS ALLIANCE | supports_independently | $13,357 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-15 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | opposes_independently | $12,586 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-13 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | opposes_independently | $3,900 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-13 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | opposes_independently | $70,977 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-12 | THE AMERICAN FOUNDATIONS COMMITTEE | opposes_independently | $16,492 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-12 | CONSERVATIVE VOTERS ALLIANCE | supports_independently | $23,333 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-09 | CONSERVATIVE VOTERS ALLIANCE | supports_independently | $1,140 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-01-30 | CONSERVATIVE VOTERS ALLIANCE | supports_independently | $11,250 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-01-29 | CONSERVATIVE VOTERS ALLIANCE | supports_independently | $515 | fec_ies |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | KELLY DAUGHTRY FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |