PORTER, GARY DALE
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4ND00020- Internal id
c4292b38-27d2-491d-b9f3-9fa1b32314c5- Status
- challenger
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | $9,897 | $7,830 | $2,283 | $383,538 | $9,897 |
| 1998 | $74,113 | $74,113 | $217 | $383,538 | $0 |
| 1996 | $164,133 | $166,616 | $217 | $379,424 | $205 |
| 1994 | $821,095 | $818,392 | $2,700 | $347,000 | $215,289 |
Elections
No elections on file.
Committees
- PORTER EXPLORATORY COMMITTEE β principal Β· type H
- PORTER FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | PORTER EXPLORATORY COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | PORTER FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees |