WALZ, JOHN
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4NE03078- Internal id
83c5a0f4-1ad8-46ed-a10c-2c5de9df25bb- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NE-03. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 652,059 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $68,556 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $37,112 |
| Income | In poverty | 10.9% |
| Income | Unemployed | 2.6% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.443 |
| Race | White alone | 82.7% |
| Race | Black alone | 1.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 0.8% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 13.1% |
| Race | Two or more races | 7.8% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 6.0% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 89.4% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 8.6% |
| Education | High school or higher | 55.8% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 25.0% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 7.9% |
| Household | Family households | 63.7% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.38 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 27.1% |
| Housing | Median home value | $180,300 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $859 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 79.2% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 6.2% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.0% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 11.8% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.7% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 87.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 9.5% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 79.3% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.2% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 6.5% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $450 | $937 | $278 | $0 | $250 |
| 2024 | $33,135 | $37,817 | $766 | $0 | $23,135 |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· NE-3 β lost_general
Committees
- COMMITTEE TO ELECT JOHN WALZ β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | COMMITTEE TO ELECT JOHN WALZ | β | candidate_committees |