GUSTAFSON, CLAIRE H.
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4NJ01118- Internal id
7b62d210-9556-443a-948f-d66630e6a587- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NJ-01. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 778,642 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $90,796 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $46,035 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.1% |
| Income | Unemployed | 6.4% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.453 |
| Race | White alone | 60.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 16.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 5.2% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 16.1% |
| Race | Two or more races | 9.1% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 10.5% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 81.7% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 10.8% |
| Education | High school or higher | 65.8% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 36.1% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 13.4% |
| Household | Family households | 64.9% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.56 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 37.7% |
| Housing | Median home value | $288,300 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,443 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 58.4% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 6.2% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.4% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 5.1% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 4.9% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 92.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 5.5% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 69.8% |
| Commute | Public transit | 3.6% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 15.2% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $38,650 | $15,544 | $30,882 | $0 | $38,650 |
| 2020 | $36,520 | $21,761 | $14,759 | $2,000 | $34,520 |
Elections
- 2014 general house Β· NJ-1 β lost_general
- 2020 general house Β· NJ-1 β lost_general
- 2022 general house Β· NJ-1 β lost_general
Committees
- CLAIRE GUSTAFSON FOR CONGRESS 2020 β principal Β· type H
- CLAIRE H GUSTAFSON β principal Β· type H
- GUSTAFSON FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-21 | BOOTS ON THE GROUND - FEDERAL | 24K | $2,000 |
| 2022-10-04 | NEW JERSEY RIGHT TO LIFE COMMITTEE FEDERAL PAC | 24E | $758 |
| 2022-06-20 | HUCK PAC FOR AMERICA | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2021-06-11 | PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES | 24A | $8 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (4)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-21 | BOOTS ON THE GROUND - FEDERAL | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-04 | NEW JERSEY RIGHT TO LIFE COMMITTEE FEDERAL PAC | contributed_to | $758 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-20 | HUCK PAC FOR AMERICA | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-06-11 | PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES | contributed_to | $8 | pas2 |
Outbound (3)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | CLAIRE GUSTAFSON FOR CONGRESS 2020 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | GUSTAFSON FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | CLAIRE H GUSTAFSON | β | candidate_committees |