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SPATARO, JOSEPH

OTHER Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H4NJ01175
Internal id
1f97c911-c55f-4724-ad94-a6481d5c68fb
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NJ-01. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation778,642
PeopleMedian age39
IncomeMedian household income$90,796
IncomePer-capita income$46,035
IncomeIn poverty11.1%
IncomeUnemployed6.4%
IncomeGini inequality index0.453
RaceWhite alone60.8%
RaceBlack alone16.5%
RaceAsian alone5.2%
RaceHispanic or Latino16.1%
RaceTwo or more races9.1%
OriginForeign-born10.5%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home81.7%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home10.8%
EducationHigh school or higher65.8%
EducationBachelor's or higher36.1%
EducationAdvanced degree13.4%
HouseholdFamily households64.9%
HouseholdAvg household size2.56
HouseholdNever married (15+)37.7%
HousingMedian home value$288,300
HousingMedian gross rent$1,443
HousingSingle-family detached58.4%
HousingBuilt before 19406.2%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)2.4%
HousingVacant units5.1%
ServiceVeterans (18+)4.9%
HealthWith a disability14.3%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband92.5%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet5.5%
CommuteDrove alone69.8%
CommutePublic transit3.6%
CommuteWorked from home15.2%

Elections

Committees

No committees on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 15.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

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