PILLING, MATTHEW NEIL MR.
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4NY10148- Internal id
edacad1e-23e0-4fd0-8e32-a6efba8d9c37- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NY-10. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 733,272 |
| People | Median age | 36 |
| Income | Median household income | $117,000 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $90,172 |
| Income | In poverty | 16.1% |
| Income | Unemployed | 6.1% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.580 |
| Race | White alone | 52.5% |
| Race | Black alone | 6.2% |
| Race | Asian alone | 19.6% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 19.6% |
| Race | Two or more races | 10.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 28.1% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 58.8% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 14.8% |
| Education | High school or higher | 74.7% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 61.7% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 27.8% |
| Household | Family households | 47.8% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.24 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 46.9% |
| Housing | Median home value | $1,229,400 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $2,352 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 1.5% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 5.4% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 7.7% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 12.4% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 1.6% |
| Health | With a disability | 9.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 91.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.4% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 7.2% |
| Commute | Public transit | 41.8% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 26.0% |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· NY-10 β lost_general
Committees
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.