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SHERRILL, DR PETER W

R Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H4NY16103
Internal id
4fa2cf6b-6a28-453f-93d9-50d049e585b9
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NY-16. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation775,704
PeopleMedian age41
IncomeMedian household income$104,031
IncomePer-capita income$67,038
IncomeIn poverty10.9%
IncomeUnemployed6.4%
IncomeGini inequality index0.555
RaceWhite alone42.3%
RaceBlack alone21.4%
RaceAsian alone6.4%
RaceHispanic or Latino29.3%
RaceTwo or more races13.6%
OriginForeign-born29.3%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home62.4%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home23.1%
EducationHigh school or higher68.9%
EducationBachelor's or higher49.1%
EducationAdvanced degree24.4%
HouseholdFamily households65.9%
HouseholdAvg household size2.58
HouseholdNever married (15+)37.1%
HousingMedian home value$639,200
HousingMedian gross rent$1,848
HousingSingle-family detached33.9%
HousingBuilt before 19408.0%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)5.9%
HousingVacant units5.0%
ServiceVeterans (18+)2.7%
HealthWith a disability11.6%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband92.1%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet5.2%
CommuteDrove alone46.9%
CommutePublic transit21.4%
CommuteWorked from home17.6%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2024$3,400$2,300$1,200$0$1,100

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (1)

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β€”principal_candidate_ofDR PETER W SHERRILL FOR US CONGRESS β€”candidate_committees

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