KELLY, SUE W
R Β· house Β· bioguide K000078
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- FEC candidate id
H4NY19073- Internal id
78833cda-2944-4224-a372-627b56b73a2d- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NY-19. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 774,788 |
| People | Median age | 42 |
| Income | Median household income | $73,134 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $41,734 |
| Income | In poverty | 14.5% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.9% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.472 |
| Race | White alone | 81.7% |
| Race | Black alone | 4.4% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.7% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 7.3% |
| Race | Two or more races | 7.1% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 7.4% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 89.2% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 4.1% |
| Education | High school or higher | 64.0% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 35.3% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 17.0% |
| Household | Family households | 58.6% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.26 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 36.5% |
| Housing | Median home value | $222,900 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,091 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 67.0% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 5.9% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.8% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 20.8% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 5.8% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 89.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.4% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 69.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 2.2% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 13.6% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | $16,206 | $111,544 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2006 | $2,293,814 | $2,519,169 | $95,338 | $111,544 | $977,734 |
| 2004 | $1,270,934 | $1,250,059 | $320,693 | $111,544 | $611,358 |
| 2002 | $1,013,591 | $968,984 | $299,818 | $111,544 | $471,245 |
| 2000 | $896,434 | $980,892 | $255,211 | $111,544 | $432,379 |
| 1998 | $865,828 | $595,985 | $339,669 | $111,544 | $437,774 |
| 1996 | $976,613 | $906,904 | $69,826 | $170,344 | $532,093 |
| 1994 | $648,573 | $618,276 | $117 | $136,544 | $381,268 |
Elections
- 1994 general house Β· NY-19 β won
- 1996 general house Β· NY-19 β won
- 1998 general house Β· NY-19 β won
- 2000 general house Β· NY-19 β won
- 2002 general house Β· NY-19 β won
- 2004 general house Β· NY-19 β won
- 2006 general house Β· NY-19 β lost_general
Committees
- LA ROMPA VICTORY COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type H
- PHYSICIANS TO RETAIN OUR MAJORITY - PROM β joint_fundraising Β· type N
- ROMP IV 2006 β joint_fundraising Β· type H
- SPIRIT OF '94 VICTORY COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type N
- SUE KELLY FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Recent votes
No votes on file.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
No sponsorships on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (5)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | LA ROMPA VICTORY COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | SPIRIT OF '94 VICTORY COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | PHYSICIANS TO RETAIN OUR MAJORITY - PROM | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | ROMP IV 2006 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | SUE KELLY FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |