KENNEDY, ELLEN T
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4NY30039- Internal id
2ac8eb9e-8991-43b7-9f5f-781acdf06d52- Status
- challenger
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1996 | $95 | $2,383 | $0 | $13,157 | $40 |
| 1994 | $107,911 | $105,622 | $2,288 | $18,475 | $68,869 |
Elections
- 1994 general house Β· NY-30 β lost_general
Committees
- KENNEDY FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-20 | KEYCORP ADVOCATES FUND-FEDERAL | 24K | $1,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (1)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-20 | KEYCORP ADVOCATES FUND-FEDERAL | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | KENNEDY FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |