PORTMAN, ROBERT J

R · house

FEC candidate id: H4OH02032
Internal id: ec7a6358-0a04-4855-83cb-cc791067ac04
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), OH-02. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	787,099
People	Median age	41
Income	Median household income	$66,384
Income	Per-capita income	$35,071
Income	In poverty	15.0%
Income	Unemployed	4.3%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.456
Race	White alone	92.8%
Race	Black alone	1.9%
Race	Asian alone	0.6%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	1.6%
Race	Two or more races	3.8%
Origin	Foreign-born	1.3%
Language	Speaks English only at home	97.8%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	0.8%
Education	High school or higher	61.6%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	21.2%
Education	Advanced degree	7.9%
Household	Family households	66.1%
Household	Avg household size	2.46
Household	Never married (15+)	28.1%
Housing	Median home value	$195,000
Housing	Median gross rent	$896
Housing	Single-family detached	72.2%
Housing	Built before 1940	4.1%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	1.8%
Housing	Vacant units	9.2%
Service	Veterans (18+)	7.5%
Health	With a disability	18.3%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	87.2%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	10.5%
Commute	Drove alone	80.8%
Commute	Public transit	0.2%
Commute	Worked from home	9.0%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2010	$-2,761	$1,515,631	$0	$0	$0
2008	$103,607	$43,863	$1,518,393	$0	$0
2006	$80,393	$806,010	$1,458,649	$0	$6,333
2004	$1,513,136	$559,343	$2,220,994	$0	$1,478,284
2002	$1,299,911	$759,367	$1,267,201	$0	$1,243,349
2000	$675,656	$406,952	$726,658	$0	$608,002
1998	$478,341	$359,922	$457,956	$0	$436,674
1996	$432,052	$256,544	$339,539	$0	$404,842
1994	$1,207,511	$1,058,431	$164,031	$55,813	$1,129,253
1992	$15,500	$548	$14,951	$0	$15,500

Elections

1994 general house · OH-2 — running
1996 general house · OH-2 — running
1998 general house · OH-2 — running
2000 general house · OH-2 — running
2002 general house · OH-2 — running
2004 general house · OH-2 — running
2006 general house · OH-2 — lost_general

Committees

PORTMAN FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2021-07-20	DISTILLED SPIRITS COUNCIL OF THE UNITED STATES …	24Z	$118
2021-05-04	AMSTED INDUSTRIES INCORPORATED PAC	24K	$-4,000

Connected on the graph

Inbound (3)

date	from	type	amount	role	source
2021-07-20	DISTILLED SPIRITS COUNCIL OF THE UNITED STATES INC POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$118	24Z	fec_pas2
2021-07-20	DISTILLED SPIRITS COUNCIL OF THE UNITED STATES INC POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$118		pas2
2021-05-04	AMSTED INDUSTRIES INC POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-4,000		pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	PORTMAN FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE	—		candidate_committees

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