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SCHRANK, ALEXANDER DAVID

OTHER Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H4OH02297
Internal id
5c566b05-7118-44b2-818f-fd00001fd75d
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), OH-02. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation787,099
PeopleMedian age41
IncomeMedian household income$66,384
IncomePer-capita income$35,071
IncomeIn poverty15.0%
IncomeUnemployed4.3%
IncomeGini inequality index0.456
RaceWhite alone92.8%
RaceBlack alone1.9%
RaceAsian alone0.6%
RaceHispanic or Latino1.6%
RaceTwo or more races3.8%
OriginForeign-born1.3%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home97.8%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home0.8%
EducationHigh school or higher61.6%
EducationBachelor's or higher21.2%
EducationAdvanced degree7.9%
HouseholdFamily households66.1%
HouseholdAvg household size2.46
HouseholdNever married (15+)28.1%
HousingMedian home value$195,000
HousingMedian gross rent$896
HousingSingle-family detached72.2%
HousingBuilt before 19404.1%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)1.8%
HousingVacant units9.2%
ServiceVeterans (18+)7.5%
HealthWith a disability18.3%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband87.2%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet10.5%
CommuteDrove alone80.8%
CommutePublic transit0.2%
CommuteWorked from home9.0%

Elections

Committees

No committees on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 15.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

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