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KUZNIAR, JOSEPH

D Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H4OH10209
Internal id
fd7b1c89-306a-4edb-b836-3329a2152259
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), OH-10. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation786,190
PeopleMedian age39
IncomeMedian household income$68,677
IncomePer-capita income$39,122
IncomeIn poverty14.3%
IncomeUnemployed5.5%
IncomeGini inequality index0.456
RaceWhite alone72.2%
RaceBlack alone16.5%
RaceAsian alone2.3%
RaceHispanic or Latino4.1%
RaceTwo or more races7.3%
OriginForeign-born5.0%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home93.3%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home2.5%
EducationHigh school or higher59.9%
EducationBachelor's or higher32.3%
EducationAdvanced degree13.8%
HouseholdFamily households58.5%
HouseholdAvg household size2.28
HouseholdNever married (15+)34.5%
HousingMedian home value$192,500
HousingMedian gross rent$1,023
HousingSingle-family detached68.7%
HousingBuilt before 19406.7%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)1.4%
HousingVacant units8.2%
ServiceVeterans (18+)8.9%
HealthWith a disability15.1%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband91.0%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet6.7%
CommuteDrove alone76.3%
CommutePublic transit0.9%
CommuteWorked from home11.9%

Elections

Committees

No committees on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
D (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

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