MORALES, EDUARDO
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4OR03168- Internal id
1a1b1d77-c9cd-4db0-b49e-16053462c2f1- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), OR-03. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 699,535 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $89,326 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $47,785 |
| Income | In poverty | 12.1% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.6% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.450 |
| Race | White alone | 67.0% |
| Race | Black alone | 5.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 7.4% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 14.8% |
| Race | Two or more races | 13.5% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 13.5% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 79.8% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 9.5% |
| Education | High school or higher | 61.2% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 41.5% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 15.6% |
| Household | Family households | 57.7% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.43 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 38.6% |
| Housing | Median home value | $530,400 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,647 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 62.4% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 6.5% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 3.7% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 5.9% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 5.1% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 93.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.1% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 57.1% |
| Commute | Public transit | 4.6% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 23.4% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $0 | $100 | $-1,962 | $6,780 | $0 |
| 2024 | $669,200 | $671,062 | $-1,862 | $6,780 | $527,298 |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· OR-3 β lost_general
Committees
- EDDY MORALES FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $145,557 | $0 | 8 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTIβ¦ | support | $38,775 | Online video production costs |
| β | NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTIβ¦ | support | $7,200 | Online digital ad buy & design costs |
| β | NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTIβ¦ | support | $960 | Administrative Consulting |
| β | NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTIβ¦ | support | $11,622 | Online digital ad buy & production costs |
| 2024-05-15 | WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC | support | $2,000 | Texting |
| 2024-05-14 | EQUALITY PROJECT PAC | support | $15,000 | Direct Mail |
| 2024-05-14 | EQUALITY PROJECT PAC | support | $50,000 | Online Advertisements |
| 2024-05-07 | BLUE HORIZON | support | $20,000 | Digital Media Buy and Production Costs |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-10 | WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC | 24E | $1,025 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (9)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | supports_independently | $38,775 | fec_ies | |
| β | NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | supports_independently | $7,200 | fec_ies | |
| β | NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | supports_independently | $960 | fec_ies | |
| β | NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | supports_independently | $11,622 | fec_ies | |
| 2025-04-10 | WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC | contributed_to | $1,025 | pas2 | |
| 2024-05-15 | WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC | supports_independently | $2,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-14 | EQUALITY PROJECT PAC | supports_independently | $15,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-14 | EQUALITY PROJECT PAC | supports_independently | $50,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-07 | BLUE HORIZON | supports_independently | $20,000 | fec_ies |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | EDDY MORALES FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |