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RAND, RACHEL LYDIA

D Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H4OR03234
Internal id
7f7cf3f1-d242-41f4-b7f5-f2d9fc027d48
Status
open seat

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), OR-03. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation699,535
PeopleMedian age39
IncomeMedian household income$89,326
IncomePer-capita income$47,785
IncomeIn poverty12.1%
IncomeUnemployed5.6%
IncomeGini inequality index0.450
RaceWhite alone67.0%
RaceBlack alone5.5%
RaceAsian alone7.4%
RaceHispanic or Latino14.8%
RaceTwo or more races13.5%
OriginForeign-born13.5%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home79.8%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home9.5%
EducationHigh school or higher61.2%
EducationBachelor's or higher41.5%
EducationAdvanced degree15.6%
HouseholdFamily households57.7%
HouseholdAvg household size2.43
HouseholdNever married (15+)38.6%
HousingMedian home value$530,400
HousingMedian gross rent$1,647
HousingSingle-family detached62.4%
HousingBuilt before 19406.5%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)3.7%
HousingVacant units5.9%
ServiceVeterans (18+)5.1%
HealthWith a disability14.4%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband93.7%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet4.1%
CommuteDrove alone57.1%
CommutePublic transit4.6%
CommuteWorked from home23.4%

Elections

Committees

No committees on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 20.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
D (major party)+10.0%
open seat-5.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

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