BONNETT, ERIK C.
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4PA04115- Internal id
5dbc59cb-4f7d-4d6a-8a1e-d9eba72e43cf- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), PA-04. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 774,814 |
| People | Median age | 42 |
| Income | Median household income | $110,538 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $59,608 |
| Income | In poverty | 6.5% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.4% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.465 |
| Race | White alone | 76.4% |
| Race | Black alone | 8.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 6.1% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 6.4% |
| Race | Two or more races | 6.6% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 9.4% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 87.5% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 3.8% |
| Education | High school or higher | 73.9% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 49.2% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 21.4% |
| Household | Family households | 67.0% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.51 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 30.9% |
| Housing | Median home value | $404,000 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,637 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 58.8% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 5.3% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.5% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 4.0% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 5.2% |
| Health | With a disability | 10.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 93.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.8% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 66.8% |
| Commute | Public transit | 2.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 21.6% |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· PA-4 β lost_general
Committees
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.