HAYES, JAMES DR.
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4PA12068- Internal id
3e99145e-8883-4c19-b13d-7d2cfa6c5547- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), PA-12. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 760,856 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $71,986 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $45,179 |
| Income | In poverty | 14.0% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.6% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.483 |
| Race | White alone | 73.7% |
| Race | Black alone | 15.0% |
| Race | Asian alone | 4.2% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 3.1% |
| Race | Two or more races | 5.8% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 6.5% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 91.5% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 2.0% |
| Education | High school or higher | 69.3% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 41.9% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 17.9% |
| Household | Family households | 53.5% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.17 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 41.1% |
| Housing | Median home value | $205,700 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,143 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 60.4% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 9.2% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.1% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 11.3% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 5.8% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 89.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 8.0% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 59.9% |
| Commute | Public transit | 6.8% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 20.3% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $27,106 | $16,238 | $11,554 | $12,253 | $21,881 |
| 2024 | $136,245 | $135,559 | $686 | $10,133 | $124,695 |
Elections
Committees
- JAMES HAYES FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-06 | MEUSER FOR CONGRESS | 24K | $1,000 |
Top individual donors (2026 cycle)
Via this candidate's principal committee JAMES HAYES FOR CONGRESS.
Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.
| Donor | Employer / occupation | City, ST | Gifts | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MARKS, DAVID | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | DUQUESNE, PA | 1 | $500 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (1)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-06 | MEUSER FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | JAMES HAYES FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |