MCCONNELL, MARY ANN
R Β· house
Sign in to add to a watchlist β
- FEC candidate id
H4PA21036- Internal id
39a8206c-6037-45be-8f5c-96374bbf7301- Status
- challenger
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | $44,200 | $44,504 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 1998 | $42,808 | $42,515 | $304 | $36,000 | $10 |
| 1996 | $177 | $240 | $30 | $72,800 | $10 |
| 1994 | $164,950 | $164,854 | $94 | $72,800 | $30,771 |
Elections
- 1994 general house Β· PA-21 β lost_general
Committees
- MCCONNELL FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | MCCONNELL FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |