FORTUNO, LUIS
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4PR00079- Internal id
9576bc1c-1dbf-428d-aecb-555e69f723e1- Status
- incumbent
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | $3,399 | $8,495 | $803 | $0 | $0 |
| 2008 | $62,648 | $145,158 | $6,005 | $0 | $62,550 |
| 2006 | $398,587 | $339,231 | $88,515 | $0 | $377,368 |
| 2004 | $1,708,786 | $1,679,326 | $29,460 | $20,000 | $1,551,919 |
Elections
No elections on file.
Committees
- FORTUNO 2004 INC β principal Β· type H
- FORTUNO IN CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 99.0%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| incumbent | +78.0% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | FORTUNO 2004 INC | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | FORTUNO IN CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |