DUNCAN, DANIEL A
D Β· house
Sign in to add to a watchlist β
- FEC candidate id
H4SC03145- Internal id
1ab2613b-6a29-4c45-8bd8-75fe6bc5cbb1- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), SC-03. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 750,357 |
| People | Median age | 41 |
| Income | Median household income | $62,661 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $34,752 |
| Income | In poverty | 15.6% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.7% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.470 |
| Race | White alone | 73.5% |
| Race | Black alone | 16.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.0% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 6.3% |
| Race | Two or more races | 6.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 4.0% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 94.3% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 4.0% |
| Education | High school or higher | 57.7% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 26.3% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 9.9% |
| Household | Family households | 66.7% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.44 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 31.0% |
| Housing | Median home value | $219,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $940 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 68.6% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.3% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.0% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 12.7% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.2% |
| Health | With a disability | 15.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 86.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 10.3% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 79.8% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 8.2% |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· SC-3 β lost_general
Committees
- DANIEL DUNCAN FOR SC β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | DANIEL DUNCAN FOR SC | β | candidate_committees |