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MORGAN, ADAM

R Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H4SC04093
Internal id
87bafb6f-68b1-4373-b955-ccc1319be5e3
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), SC-04. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation765,409
PeopleMedian age38
IncomeMedian household income$72,664
IncomePer-capita income$40,351
IncomeIn poverty12.4%
IncomeUnemployed4.4%
IncomeGini inequality index0.468
RaceWhite alone65.6%
RaceBlack alone17.6%
RaceAsian alone2.6%
RaceHispanic or Latino11.4%
RaceTwo or more races9.7%
OriginForeign-born9.1%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home86.5%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home8.7%
EducationHigh school or higher61.9%
EducationBachelor's or higher36.1%
EducationAdvanced degree13.6%
HouseholdFamily households65.6%
HouseholdAvg household size2.46
HouseholdNever married (15+)32.5%
HousingMedian home value$275,000
HousingMedian gross rent$1,201
HousingSingle-family detached68.4%
HousingBuilt before 19403.1%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)2.4%
HousingVacant units8.0%
ServiceVeterans (18+)6.5%
HealthWith a disability13.3%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband90.7%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet7.3%
CommuteDrove alone76.0%
CommutePublic transit0.2%
CommuteWorked from home12.4%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2026$0$2,953$0$0$0
2024$645,975$643,022$2,953$276,093$355,349

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

CycleSupportOpposeIEs
2024$327,416$24,00014

Recent (latest 25)

DateSpenderFor / againstAmountPurpose
β€”AMERICAN PRINCIPLES PROJECT PACsupport$2,800Peer-to-peer messaging (estimate)
β€”AMERICAN PRINCIPLES PROJECT PACsupport$2,800Peer-to-peer messaging (estimate)
β€”AMERICAN PRINCIPLES PROJECT PACsupport$2,800Peer-to-peer messaging
β€”AMERICAN PRINCIPLES PROJECT PACsupport$5,600Peer-to-peer messaging (estimate)
β€”AMERICAN PRINCIPLES PROJECT PACsupport$2,800Peer-to-peer messaging (estimate)
β€”AMERICAN PRINCIPLES PROJECT PACsupport$2,800Peer-to-peer messaging (estimate)
β€”AMERICAN PRINCIPLES PROJECT PACsupport$2,800Peer-to-peer messaging (estimate)
β€”AMERICAN PRINCIPLES PROJECT PACsupport$2,800Peer-to-peer messaging (estimate)
β€”AMERICAN PRINCIPLES PROJECT PACsupport$2,800Peer-to-peer messaging (estimate)
2024-06-07PROTECT OUR CHILDREN PACoppose$4,000TEXT MESSAGES
2024-06-07PROTECT OUR CHILDREN PACoppose$20,000PRINTING/POSTAGE
2024-05-23MAKE LIBERTY WINsupport$31,631Carey Acct: Field Distribution of Literature
2024-05-17MAKE LIBERTY WINsupport$13,256Carey Acct: Field Distribution of Literature
2024-05-01AMERICAN PRINCIPLES PROJECT PACsupport$254,529Digital Advertising (Production & Placement)

Connected on the graph

Inbound (14)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
β€”AMERICAN PRINCIPLES PROJECT PACsupports_independently$2,800fec_ies
β€”AMERICAN PRINCIPLES PROJECT PACsupports_independently$2,800fec_ies
β€”AMERICAN PRINCIPLES PROJECT PACsupports_independently$2,800fec_ies
β€”AMERICAN PRINCIPLES PROJECT PACsupports_independently$5,600fec_ies
β€”AMERICAN PRINCIPLES PROJECT PACsupports_independently$2,800fec_ies
β€”AMERICAN PRINCIPLES PROJECT PACsupports_independently$2,800fec_ies
β€”AMERICAN PRINCIPLES PROJECT PACsupports_independently$2,800fec_ies
β€”AMERICAN PRINCIPLES PROJECT PACsupports_independently$2,800fec_ies
β€”AMERICAN PRINCIPLES PROJECT PACsupports_independently$2,800fec_ies
2024-06-07PROTECT OUR CHILDREN PACopposes_independently$4,000fec_ies
2024-06-07PROTECT OUR CHILDREN PACopposes_independently$20,000fec_ies
2024-05-23MAKE LIBERTY WINsupports_independently$31,631fec_ies
2024-05-17MAKE LIBERTY WINsupports_independently$13,256fec_ies
2024-05-01AMERICAN PRINCIPLES PROJECT PACsupports_independently$254,529fec_ies

Outbound (1)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofADAM MORGAN FOR CONGRESSβ€”candidate_committees

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