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GINN, JUSTIN

I Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H4SC06122
Internal id
44c272d6-ffad-4bde-9f0f-6ea8b7edb59d
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), SC-06. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation745,526
PeopleMedian age37
IncomeMedian household income$55,782
IncomePer-capita income$34,237
IncomeIn poverty19.8%
IncomeUnemployed5.8%
IncomeGini inequality index0.500
RaceWhite alone42.2%
RaceBlack alone47.3%
RaceAsian alone1.6%
RaceHispanic or Latino6.6%
RaceTwo or more races5.3%
OriginForeign-born5.2%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home92.4%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home5.0%
EducationHigh school or higher58.7%
EducationBachelor's or higher29.2%
EducationAdvanced degree11.5%
HouseholdFamily households55.4%
HouseholdAvg household size2.31
HouseholdNever married (15+)43.4%
HousingMedian home value$213,400
HousingMedian gross rent$1,202
HousingSingle-family detached55.1%
HousingBuilt before 19404.7%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)2.5%
HousingVacant units14.6%
ServiceVeterans (18+)7.8%
HealthWith a disability15.1%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband85.8%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet10.8%
CommuteDrove alone74.0%
CommutePublic transit0.9%
CommuteWorked from home10.3%

Elections

Committees

No committees on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 15.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

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