JOHNSTON, COURTNEY
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4TN05137- Internal id
d9fff756-58b7-456d-9cb2-a1c0b9982f01- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), TN-05. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 796,623 |
| People | Median age | 38 |
| Income | Median household income | $93,904 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $53,402 |
| Income | In poverty | 9.2% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.6% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.482 |
| Race | White alone | 70.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 12.2% |
| Race | Asian alone | 4.0% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 10.5% |
| Race | Two or more races | 8.9% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 12.2% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 84.5% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 7.6% |
| Education | High school or higher | 68.8% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 47.0% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 17.8% |
| Household | Family households | 66.2% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.50 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 29.8% |
| Housing | Median home value | $457,700 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,622 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 65.1% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 2.0% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.3% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 6.8% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 5.6% |
| Health | With a disability | 9.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 93.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.4% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 70.3% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.5% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 20.1% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $783 | $13,770 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2024 | $982,429 | $969,442 | $12,987 | $0 | $936,809 |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· TN-5 β lost_general
Committees
- COURTNEY FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $942,641 | $69,902 | 23 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | GUN RIGHTS AMERICA | oppose | $2,662 | Estimated Mail Voter Outreach |
| 2024-07-31 | VOLUNTEERS FOR FREEDOM PAC | oppose | $6,750 | DIGITAL MEDIA PLACEMENT / DIGITAL MEDIA PRODUCTION |
| 2024-07-31 | HOUSE FREEDOM ACTION | oppose | $12,219 | IE- JOHNSTON- ADVERTISING |
| 2024-07-30 | VOLUNTEERS FOR FREEDOM PAC | oppose | $250 | DIGITAL MEDIA PRODUCTION |
| 2024-07-25 | VOLUNTEERS FOR FREEDOM PAC | oppose | $8,100 | DIGITAL MEDIA PLACEMENT |
| 2024-07-24 | HOUSE FREEDOM ACTION | oppose | $13,430 | IE- JOHNSTON- DIGITAL MARKETING |
| 2024-07-23 | CONSERVATIVES WITH CHARACTER, INC. | support | $30,000 | digital ad campaign |
| 2024-07-23 | CONSERVATIVES WITH CHARACTER, INC. | support | $30,000 | digital ad campaign |
| 2024-07-23 | CONSERVATIVES WITH CHARACTER, INC. | support | $26,820 | mail ad campaign |
| 2024-07-23 | CONSERVATIVES WITH CHARACTER, INC. | support | $26,820 | mail ad campaign |
| 2024-07-22 | CONSERVATIVES WITH CHARACTER, INC. | support | $240,000 | tv ad campaign |
| 2024-07-22 | CONSERVATIVES WITH CHARACTER, INC. | support | $200,000 | tv ad campaign |
| 2024-07-22 | HOUSE FREEDOM ACTION | support | $5,193 | IE- JOHNSTON- DIGITAL MARKETING |
| 2024-07-22 | CONSERVATIVES WITH CHARACTER, INC. | support | $20,605 | mail ad campaign |
| 2024-07-22 | HOUSE FREEDOM ACTION | oppose | $5,193 | IE- JOHNSTON- DIGITAL MARKETING |
| 2024-07-19 | HOUSE FREEDOM ACTION | oppose | $9,655 | IE- Johnston- Digital Marketing |
| 2024-07-17 | CONSERVATIVES WITH CHARACTER, INC. | support | $116,000 | television advertising campaign |
| 2024-07-16 | HOUSE FREEDOM ACTION | oppose | $11,642 | IE- JOHNSTON- DIGITAL MARKETING |
| 2024-07-10 | CONSERVATIVES WITH CHARACTER, INC. | support | $52,563 | text advertising campaign |
| 2024-07-10 | CONSERVATIVES WITH CHARACTER, INC. | support | $26,820 | mail advertising campaign #2 |
| 2024-07-10 | CONSERVATIVES WITH CHARACTER, INC. | support | $26,820 | mail advertising campaign #1 |
| 2024-06-12 | CONSERVATIVES WITH CHARACTER, INC. | support | $116,000 | Television ads |
| 2024-06-11 | CONSERVATIVES WITH CHARACTER, INC. | support | $25,000 | digital ads |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (23)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | GUN RIGHTS AMERICA | opposes_independently | $2,662 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-31 | HOUSE FREEDOM ACTION FUND | opposes_independently | $12,219 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-31 | VOLUNTEERS FOR FREEDOM PAC | opposes_independently | $6,750 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-30 | VOLUNTEERS FOR FREEDOM PAC | opposes_independently | $250 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-25 | VOLUNTEERS FOR FREEDOM PAC | opposes_independently | $8,100 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-24 | HOUSE FREEDOM ACTION FUND | opposes_independently | $13,430 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-23 | CONSERVATIVES WITH CHARACTER, INC. | supports_independently | $26,820 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-23 | CONSERVATIVES WITH CHARACTER, INC. | supports_independently | $30,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-23 | CONSERVATIVES WITH CHARACTER, INC. | supports_independently | $30,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-23 | CONSERVATIVES WITH CHARACTER, INC. | supports_independently | $26,820 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-22 | HOUSE FREEDOM ACTION FUND | supports_independently | $5,193 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-22 | CONSERVATIVES WITH CHARACTER, INC. | supports_independently | $20,605 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-22 | CONSERVATIVES WITH CHARACTER, INC. | supports_independently | $240,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-22 | HOUSE FREEDOM ACTION FUND | opposes_independently | $5,193 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-22 | CONSERVATIVES WITH CHARACTER, INC. | supports_independently | $200,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-19 | HOUSE FREEDOM ACTION FUND | opposes_independently | $9,655 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-17 | CONSERVATIVES WITH CHARACTER, INC. | supports_independently | $116,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-16 | HOUSE FREEDOM ACTION FUND | opposes_independently | $11,642 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-10 | CONSERVATIVES WITH CHARACTER, INC. | supports_independently | $26,820 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-10 | CONSERVATIVES WITH CHARACTER, INC. | supports_independently | $52,563 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-10 | CONSERVATIVES WITH CHARACTER, INC. | supports_independently | $26,820 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-12 | CONSERVATIVES WITH CHARACTER, INC. | supports_independently | $116,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-11 | CONSERVATIVES WITH CHARACTER, INC. | supports_independently | $25,000 | fec_ies |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | COURTNEY FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |