DAVIS, LINCOLN EDWARD
D Β· house Β· bioguide D000599
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- FEC candidate id
H4TN06051- Internal id
22be1037-9251-43d5-9b80-8022ddf041eb- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), TN-04. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 799,279 |
| People | Median age | 38 |
| Income | Median household income | $69,571 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $34,890 |
| Income | In poverty | 12.5% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.2% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.433 |
| Race | White alone | 77.3% |
| Race | Black alone | 8.8% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.0% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 8.8% |
| Race | Two or more races | 8.2% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 6.6% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 89.8% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 6.3% |
| Education | High school or higher | 61.7% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 25.8% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 8.9% |
| Household | Family households | 68.5% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.63 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 30.0% |
| Housing | Median home value | $291,200 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,165 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 71.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 2.5% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.5% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 9.6% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.3% |
| Health | With a disability | 15.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 88.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 8.8% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 75.7% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.2% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 11.9% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $0 | $934 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2014 | $0 | $23,950 | $934 | $37 | $0 |
| 2012 | $10,717 | $81,053 | $24,884 | $37 | $0 |
| 2010 | $1,488,038 | $1,411,746 | $95,220 | $0 | $633,099 |
| 2008 | $1,062,423 | $1,074,528 | $18,928 | $0 | $369,336 |
| 2006 | $916,147 | $810,403 | $31,034 | $0 | $267,194 |
| 2004 | $1,149,376 | $1,145,424 | $5,873 | $48,151 | $410,559 |
| 2002 | $1,282,136 | $1,280,215 | $1,921 | $253,430 | $452,923 |
| 2000 | $2,043 | $1,010 | $1,058 | $81,561 | $2,025 |
| 1998 | $0 | $0 | $25 | $82,511 | $0 |
| 1996 | $0 | $25 | $25 | $82,511 | $0 |
| 1994 | $255,905 | $255,879 | $25 | $82,511 | $87,911 |
| 1992 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 1990 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 1988 | $11,611 | $11,611 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 1986 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 1984 | $168,898 | $168,624 | $271 | $68,958 | $90,501 |
Elections
- 1984 general house Β· TN-6 β won
- 1994 general house Β· TN-4 β won
- 2002 general house Β· TN-4 β won
- 2004 general house Β· TN-4 β won
- 2006 general house Β· TN-4 β won
- 2008 general house Β· TN-4 β won
- 2010 general house Β· TN-4 β lost_general
Committees
- FRONTLINE DEMOCRATS β joint_fundraising Β· type X
- LINCOLN DAVIS FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
- LINCOLN DAVIS FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Recent votes
No votes on file.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
No sponsorships on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (3)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | FRONTLINE DEMOCRATS | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | LINCOLN DAVIS FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | LINCOLN DAVIS FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees |