MILLS, JOHN JOHN
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4TN08099- Internal id
f27584f0-00cb-4d9e-a91d-b3e1509ede74- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), TN-08. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 767,898 |
| People | Median age | 41 |
| Income | Median household income | $69,163 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $40,631 |
| Income | In poverty | 13.6% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.9% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.502 |
| Race | White alone | 73.5% |
| Race | Black alone | 17.1% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.1% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 4.0% |
| Race | Two or more races | 5.4% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 3.8% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 94.7% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 2.5% |
| Education | High school or higher | 64.4% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 29.8% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 11.8% |
| Household | Family households | 67.2% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.48 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 27.8% |
| Housing | Median home value | $233,800 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $920 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 76.6% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.7% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.6% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 10.8% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.2% |
| Health | With a disability | 16.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 88.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 9.3% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 79.4% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.2% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 10.1% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $14,162 | $15,191 | $1,029 | $105,464 | $1,662 |
| 2024 | $25,780 | $24,033 | $2,058 | $91,787 | $5,130 |
| 2022 | $6,700 | $7,172 | $311 | $70,697 | $0 |
| 2020 | $27,049 | $26,544 | $783 | $63,997 | $190 |
| 2018 | $31,914 | $31,785 | $278 | $38,536 | $9,882 |
| 2016 | $7,876 | $8,951 | $148 | $16,731 | $380 |
| 2014 | $10,040 | $8,816 | $1,223 | $9,235 | $805 |
Elections
Committees
- JOHN MILLS FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | JOHN MILLS FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |