THORNBERRY, MAC
R Β· house Β· bioguide T000238
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- FEC candidate id
H4TX13014- Internal id
e763d83e-bfdf-4920-ab13-11eba4a203b5- Status
- incumbent
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), TX-13. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 782,513 |
| People | Median age | 36 |
| Income | Median household income | $68,442 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $35,233 |
| Income | In poverty | 14.6% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.9% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.456 |
| Race | White alone | 67.2% |
| Race | Black alone | 6.8% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.5% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 28.9% |
| Race | Two or more races | 16.7% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 10.2% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 79.0% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 17.3% |
| Education | High school or higher | 55.2% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 26.2% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 8.6% |
| Household | Family households | 64.2% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.55 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 33.1% |
| Housing | Median home value | $192,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,118 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 70.5% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 6.2% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 3.2% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 13.4% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.4% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 88.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 8.8% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 75.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.4% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 7.8% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $641 | $333,114 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2020 | $484,319 | $609,943 | $332,473 | $0 | $291,389 |
| 2018 | $1,372,999 | $1,419,932 | $458,097 | $0 | $712,213 |
| 2016 | $1,824,829 | $1,698,238 | $505,031 | $0 | $943,362 |
| 2014 | $1,610,236 | $1,693,677 | $378,440 | $0 | $917,936 |
| 2012 | $1,092,129 | $870,521 | $461,600 | $0 | $634,117 |
| 2010 | $689,960 | $792,833 | $239,992 | $0 | $435,905 |
| 2008 | $778,210 | $789,268 | $342,866 | $0 | $594,256 |
| 2006 | $631,029 | $551,845 | $353,924 | $0 | $471,229 |
| 2004 | $351,867 | $383,728 | $257,321 | $0 | $211,368 |
| 2002 | $578,850 | $441,741 | $289,182 | $0 | $413,094 |
| 2000 | $714,078 | $741,039 | $152,071 | $0 | $475,456 |
| 1998 | $545,766 | $448,727 | $179,033 | $0 | $340,494 |
| 1996 | $620,638 | $565,578 | $81,993 | $0 | $441,045 |
| 1994 | $459,013 | $432,072 | $26,939 | $31,189 | $385,712 |
Elections
- 1994 general house Β· TX-13 β won
- 1996 general house Β· TX-13 β won
- 1998 general house Β· TX-13 β won
- 2000 general house Β· TX-13 β won
- 2002 general house Β· TX-13 β won
- 2004 general house Β· TX-13 β won
- 2006 general house Β· TX-13 β won
- 2008 general house Β· TX-13 β won
- 2010 general house Β· TX-13 β won
- 2012 general house Β· TX-13 β won
- 2014 general house Β· TX-13 β won
- 2016 general house Β· TX-13 β won
- 2018 general house Β· TX-13 β won
- 2020 general house Β· TX-13 β lost_general
Committees
- THORNBERRY FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE β principal Β· type H
Recent votes
No votes on file.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
No sponsorships on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 99.0%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| incumbent | +78.0% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | THORNBERRY FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees |