HERRERA, BRANDON
R Β· house
Sign in to add to a watchlist β
- FEC candidate id
H4TX23120- Internal id
1ac2fcf4-5ae6-4e34-b61c-2072a85f0c4c- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), TX-23. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 770,809 |
| People | Median age | 35 |
| Income | Median household income | $79,042 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $37,363 |
| Income | In poverty | 13.6% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.5% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.470 |
| Race | White alone | 44.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 3.8% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.7% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 62.9% |
| Race | Two or more races | 35.6% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 15.8% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 54.1% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 42.5% |
| Education | High school or higher | 55.6% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 31.1% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 12.3% |
| Household | Family households | 73.4% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.88 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 32.5% |
| Housing | Median home value | $258,100 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,238 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 71.9% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 2.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 4.8% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 10.7% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 9.5% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 89.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 8.4% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 71.0% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 13.6% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $1,522,558 | $1,225,114 | $305,485 | $570,000 | $34,270 |
| 2024 | $1,997,067 | $1,989,026 | $8,041 | $150,000 | $726,334 |
Elections
Committees
- BRANDON HERRERA FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $40,724 | $173,119 | 12 |
| 2024 | $109,232 | $3,775,535 | 64 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | oppose | $15,540 | Direct Mail |
| β | GUN RIGHTS AMERICA | support | $480 | Estimated Texting Outreach |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | oppose | $15,540 | Direct Mail |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | oppose | $15,540 | Direct Mail |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | oppose | $999,126 | Media Production/Placement |
| β | GUN RIGHTS AMERICA | support | $1,000 | Estimated Phone Voter Contact |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | oppose | $999,126 | Media Production/Placement |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | oppose | $15,540 | Direct Mail |
| β | GUN RIGHTS AMERICA | support | $480 | Estimated Texting Outreach |
| 2026-02-26 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP ACTION | oppose | $16,031 | DIRECT MAIL PROCESSING |
| 2026-02-26 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | support | $14,524 | IE-HERRERA-MEDIA BUY (NON-CONTRIBUTION ACCOUNT) |
| 2026-02-25 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | support | $200 | IE- HERRERA - DONATION PROCESSING |
| 2026-02-25 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP ACTION | oppose | $2,238 | DIRECT MAIL PROCESSING |
| 2026-02-24 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | support | $25,000 | IE- HERRERA- DIGITAL ADVERTISING (NON-CONTRIBUTION ACCOUNT) |
| 2026-02-13 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP TRUST | oppose | $25,000 | MEDIA PLACEMENT |
| 2026-01-31 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP ACTION | oppose | $25,000 | TEXTING SERVICE |
| 2026-01-31 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP ACTION | oppose | $25,000 | MEDIA PRODUCTION/POSTAGE |
| 2026-01-29 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP ACTION | oppose | $13,619 | DIRECT MAIL PROCESSING |
| 2026-01-27 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP TRUST | oppose | $50,200 | MEDIA PLACEMENT |
| 2026-01-21 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP ACTION | oppose | $16,031 | DIRECT MAIL PROCESSING |
| 2024-05-29 | TEXANS FIGHTING CORRUPTION FEDERAL PAC | support | $1,258 | Text Political Ads |
| 2024-05-29 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP ACTION | oppose | $1,369 | TEXTING SERVICES |
| 2024-05-29 | TEXANS FIGHTING CORRUPTION FEDERAL PAC | support | $478 | Text Political Ads |
| 2024-05-28 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP ACTION | oppose | $2,038 | TEXTING SERVICES |
| 2024-05-24 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP ACTION | oppose | $2,878 | TEXTING SERVICES |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
Top individual donors (2026 cycle)
Via this candidate's principal committee BRANDON HERRERA FOR CONGRESS.
Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.
Connected on the graph
Inbound (100)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | GUN RIGHTS AMERICA | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| β | GUN RIGHTS AMERICA | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | contributed_to | $-45 | pas2 | |
| β | GUN RIGHTS AMERICA | supports_independently | $1,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | opposes_independently | $15,540 | fec_ies | |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | opposes_independently | $15,540 | fec_ies | |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | opposes_independently | $15,540 | fec_ies | |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | opposes_independently | $999,126 | fec_ies | |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | opposes_independently | $15,540 | fec_ies | |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | opposes_independently | $999,126 | fec_ies | |
| β | GUN RIGHTS AMERICA | supports_independently | $480 | fec_ies | |
| β | GUN RIGHTS AMERICA | supports_independently | $480 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-03-31 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | contributed_to | $5 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-24 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | contributed_to | $2 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-24 | EMMER FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-20 | FIRST IN FREEDOM PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-17 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | contributed_to | $165 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-10 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-10 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | contributed_to | $6 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-10 | EVER RELENTLESS IN CONSERVATISM | contributed_to | $3,500 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-03 | MAKE LIBERTY WIN | contributed_to | $447 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-03 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | contributed_to | $403 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-26 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | contributed_to | $14,524 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-26 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | supports_independently | $14,524 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-02-26 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP FUND | opposes_independently | $16,031 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-02-26 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP FUND | contributed_to | $16,031 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-25 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP FUND | opposes_independently | $2,238 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-02-25 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP FUND | contributed_to | $2,237 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-25 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | supports_independently | $200 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-02-25 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | contributed_to | $200 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-24 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | contributed_to | $25,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-24 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | supports_independently | $25,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-02-24 | DEFEND FREEDOM, INC. | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-24 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-13 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP TRUST | contributed_to | $25,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-13 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP TRUST | opposes_independently | $25,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-01-31 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP FUND | contributed_to | $25,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-01-31 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP FUND | opposes_independently | $25,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-01-31 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP FUND | opposes_independently | $25,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-01-29 | NATIONAL ASSOCIATION FOR GUN RIGHTS INC PAC | contributed_to | $3,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-01-29 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP FUND | opposes_independently | $13,619 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-01-29 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP FUND | contributed_to | $13,618 | pas2 | |
| 2026-01-27 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP TRUST | contributed_to | $50,200 | pas2 | |
| 2026-01-27 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP TRUST | opposes_independently | $50,200 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-01-22 | FREEDOM FIRST PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-01-21 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP FUND | opposes_independently | $16,031 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-01-21 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP FUND | contributed_to | $16,031 | pas2 | |
| 2024-05-29 | TEXANS FIGHTING CORRUPTION FEDERAL PAC | supports_independently | $1,258 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-29 | TEXANS FIGHTING CORRUPTION FEDERAL PAC | supports_independently | $478 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-29 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP FUND | opposes_independently | $1,369 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-28 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP FUND | opposes_independently | $2,038 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-24 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP FUND | opposes_independently | $2,878 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-22 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP FUND | opposes_independently | $14,264 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-22 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP FUND | opposes_independently | $13,661 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-22 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP FUND | opposes_independently | $14,264 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-22 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP FUND | opposes_independently | $700 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-22 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP FUND | opposes_independently | $13,661 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-20 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP FUND | opposes_independently | $85 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-20 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP FUND | opposes_independently | $44,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-20 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP FUND | opposes_independently | $6,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-19 | RJC VICTORY FUND | opposes_independently | $9,758 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-19 | RJC VICTORY FUND | opposes_independently | $376,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-17 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP FUND | opposes_independently | $10,900 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-17 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP FUND | opposes_independently | $310 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-17 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP FUND | opposes_independently | $33,608 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-17 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP FUND | opposes_independently | $246,456 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-17 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP FUND | opposes_independently | $6,830 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-17 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP FUND | opposes_independently | $7,132 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-16 | GOA VICTORY FUND | supports_independently | $5,682 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-15 | AMERICA LEADS | opposes_independently | $16,403 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-15 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP FUND | opposes_independently | $4,761 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-15 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP FUND | opposes_independently | $5,755 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-15 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP FUND | opposes_independently | $15,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-13 | AMERICA LEADS | opposes_independently | $16,403 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-10 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP FUND | opposes_independently | $1,400 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-10 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP FUND | opposes_independently | $1,400 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-09 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP FUND | opposes_independently | $17,716 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-09 | AMERICA LEADS | opposes_independently | $14,581 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-09 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP FUND | opposes_independently | $163,858 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-08 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP FUND | opposes_independently | $5,747 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-08 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP FUND | opposes_independently | $4,769 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-06 | AMERICA LEADS | opposes_independently | $7,290 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-06 | AMERICA LEADS | opposes_independently | $7,290 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-02 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP FUND | opposes_independently | $8,900 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-04-30 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP FUND | opposes_independently | $11,495 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-04-30 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP FUND | opposes_independently | $9,538 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-04-30 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP FUND | opposes_independently | $11,495 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-04-30 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP FUND | opposes_independently | $14,375 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-04-30 | HOUSE FREEDOM ACTION FUND | supports_independently | $58,853 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-04-30 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP FUND | opposes_independently | $9,538 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-04-30 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP FUND | opposes_independently | $14,375 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-04-26 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP FUND | opposes_independently | $23,098 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-04-26 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP FUND | opposes_independently | $218,284 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-04-26 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP FUND | opposes_independently | $218,284 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-04-26 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP FUND | opposes_independently | $23,098 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-04-08 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP FUND | opposes_independently | $7,500 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-04-04 | GOA VICTORY FUND | supports_independently | $42,001 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-22 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP FUND | opposes_independently | $8,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-22 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP FUND | opposes_independently | $600 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-26 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP FUND | opposes_independently | $13,025 | fec_ies |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | BRANDON HERRERA FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |