MANDEL, CHARLES
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4TX27105- Internal id
dcc55ff0-b264-4737-ae36-6bef04685700- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), TX-34. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 778,225 |
| People | Median age | 31 |
| Income | Median household income | $53,104 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $22,760 |
| Income | In poverty | 26.1% |
| Income | Unemployed | 7.0% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.465 |
| Race | White alone | 34.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 0.7% |
| Race | Asian alone | 0.6% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 90.6% |
| Race | Two or more races | 53.7% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 22.0% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 26.8% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 72.4% |
| Education | High school or higher | 46.8% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 19.3% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 6.0% |
| Household | Family households | 76.3% |
| Household | Avg household size | 3.16 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 36.3% |
| Housing | Median home value | $125,100 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $914 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 65.4% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 2.3% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 10.5% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 13.5% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 4.0% |
| Health | With a disability | 12.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 85.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 11.4% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 75.9% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 8.6% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $1,002,821 | $758,563 | $330,730 | $1,000,000 | $2,686 |
| 2024 | $324,600 | $291,005 | $135 | $28,243 | $9,600 |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· TX-27 β lost_general
- 2024 general house Β· TX-34 β running
- 2026 general house Β· TX-34 β running
Committees
- MANDEL FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
- SCOTT MANDEL FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | SCOTT MANDEL FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | MANDEL FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |