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MCDONOUGH, MELISSA A

D Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H4TX38011
Internal id
3b9beab7-d1b5-4405-b97a-582d2dfe346c
Status
open seat

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), TX-38. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation788,192
PeopleMedian age38
IncomeMedian household income$102,662
IncomePer-capita income$58,622
IncomeIn poverty9.1%
IncomeUnemployed5.1%
IncomeGini inequality index0.497
RaceWhite alone52.9%
RaceBlack alone10.4%
RaceAsian alone10.3%
RaceHispanic or Latino27.2%
RaceTwo or more races18.2%
OriginForeign-born22.2%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home66.9%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home19.9%
EducationHigh school or higher67.1%
EducationBachelor's or higher50.5%
EducationAdvanced degree19.0%
HouseholdFamily households68.5%
HouseholdAvg household size2.64
HouseholdNever married (15+)30.2%
HousingMedian home value$373,200
HousingMedian gross rent$1,653
HousingSingle-family detached62.1%
HousingBuilt before 19400.5%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)3.7%
HousingVacant units6.4%
ServiceVeterans (18+)5.1%
HealthWith a disability9.4%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband95.7%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet2.5%
CommuteDrove alone69.5%
CommutePublic transit1.0%
CommuteWorked from home18.2%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2026$47,898$33,295$37,303$113,240$29,397
2024$193,005$172,085$22,700$113,240$77,626

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 20.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
D (major party)+10.0%
open seat-5.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
2025-12-18LEE PAC24K$500

Top individual donors (2026 cycle)

Via this candidate's principal committee MELISSA MCDONOUGH FOR CONGRESS.

Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.

DonorEmployer / occupationCity, STGiftsTotal
BAILEY, LARRYSELF Β· FINANCIAL ADVISORWASHINGTON, DC1$1,000
SHOUSE, CORBINNOT EMPLOYED Β· NOT EMPLOYEDSPRING, TX1$150

Connected on the graph

Inbound (1)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
2025-12-18LEE PACcontributed_to$500pas2

Outbound (1)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofMELISSA MCDONOUGH FOR CONGRESSβ€”candidate_committees

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