MARSHALL, ROBERT G
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4VA00049- Internal id
960372a7-d599-4564-8e1c-08d2a37c0e03- Status
- challenger
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $0 | $23,653 | $2,876 | $0 | $0 |
| 2018 | $0 | $311 | $26,529 | $10,476 | $0 |
| 2016 | $50 | $703 | $26,839 | $10,476 | $50 |
| 2014 | $79,387 | $49,970 | $29,417 | $10,476 | $76,387 |
Elections
No elections on file.
Committees
- BOB MARSHALL FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-26 | YOPAC | 24K | $1,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (1)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-26 | YOPAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | BOB MARSHALL FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |