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WELLS, ROBERT CARR MR. JR.

I Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H4VA06046
Internal id
c060d8bd-ccd2-4634-9b3f-a3a785a3acd5
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), VA-06. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation790,761
PeopleMedian age41
IncomeMedian household income$71,978
IncomePer-capita income$39,028
IncomeIn poverty11.9%
IncomeUnemployed4.1%
IncomeGini inequality index0.451
RaceWhite alone79.1%
RaceBlack alone8.2%
RaceAsian alone1.7%
RaceHispanic or Latino8.6%
RaceTwo or more races7.1%
OriginForeign-born6.3%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home90.6%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home6.3%
EducationHigh school or higher62.9%
EducationBachelor's or higher28.7%
EducationAdvanced degree11.5%
HouseholdFamily households62.3%
HouseholdAvg household size2.42
HouseholdNever married (15+)32.7%
HousingMedian home value$285,600
HousingMedian gross rent$1,109
HousingSingle-family detached72.1%
HousingBuilt before 19405.1%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)1.9%
HousingVacant units10.4%
ServiceVeterans (18+)7.5%
HealthWith a disability14.7%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband87.2%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet10.1%
CommuteDrove alone76.4%
CommutePublic transit0.6%
CommuteWorked from home10.8%

Elections

Committees

No committees on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 15.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

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