MALDONADO, MICHELLE ANN ELIZABETH
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4VA10345- Internal id
b958747f-b6f3-48cb-b151-2eabc3ebdd44- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), VA-10. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 802,125 |
| People | Median age | 38 |
| Income | Median household income | $162,359 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $65,165 |
| Income | In poverty | 5.0% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.5% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.400 |
| Race | White alone | 55.5% |
| Race | Black alone | 8.7% |
| Race | Asian alone | 15.5% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 18.9% |
| Race | Two or more races | 14.0% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 25.0% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 66.9% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 14.7% |
| Education | High school or higher | 72.1% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 55.9% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 24.0% |
| Household | Family households | 77.6% |
| Household | Avg household size | 3.02 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 29.6% |
| Housing | Median home value | $674,500 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $2,203 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 58.5% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 0.6% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.8% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 3.4% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 8.3% |
| Health | With a disability | 7.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 96.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 2.1% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 61.9% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.6% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 26.0% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $0 | $240 | $132 | $0 | $0 |
| 2024 | $118,124 | $119,483 | $372 | $0 | $103,354 |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· VA-10 β lost_general
Committees
- MICHELLE MALDONADO FOR US CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | MICHELLE MALDONADO FOR US CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |