SMILEY, TIFFANY
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4WA04179- Internal id
8881304e-7ddb-456c-82a1-875f1e65c0e3- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), WA-04. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 781,735 |
| People | Median age | 35 |
| Income | Median household income | $77,137 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $35,454 |
| Income | In poverty | 14.0% |
| Income | Unemployed | 6.0% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.440 |
| Race | White alone | 56.4% |
| Race | Black alone | 1.2% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.7% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 41.2% |
| Race | Two or more races | 21.2% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 15.9% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 65.8% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 31.2% |
| Education | High school or higher | 51.5% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 24.0% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 8.9% |
| Household | Family households | 70.4% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.79 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 33.6% |
| Housing | Median home value | $356,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,168 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 65.6% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 6.2% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 5.5% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 7.9% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.6% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.7% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 74.7% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.9% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 10.0% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $0 | $22,062 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2024 | $1,068,852 | $1,046,789 | $22,062 | $5,072 | $1,047,838 |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· WA-4 β lost_general
Committees
- SMILEY FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $223,829 | $0 | 10 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | MWSA INC. | support | $90,068 | Media Placement |
| β | MWSA INC. | support | $12,231 | Media Placement |
| β | MWSA INC. | support | $2,156 | Text Messaging |
| 2024-08-05 | ESAFUND | support | $13,000 | voter contact/messaging services |
| 2024-07-23 | ESAFUND | support | $47,054 | voter contact/messaging services |
| 2024-07-23 | MWSA INC. | support | $2,332 | Ad Production |
| 2024-07-22 | MWSA INC. | support | $6,662 | Media Placement |
| 2024-07-16 | MWSA INC. | support | $25,847 | Media Placement |
| 2024-07-08 | MWSA INC. | support | $7,813 | Media Production |
| 2024-07-03 | MWSA INC. | support | $16,667 | Media Placement |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-10 | LETS GET TO WORK PAC | 24K | $-5,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (11)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | MWSA INC. | supports_independently | $90,068 | fec_ies | |
| β | MWSA INC. | supports_independently | $12,231 | fec_ies | |
| β | MWSA INC. | supports_independently | $2,156 | fec_ies | |
| 2025-02-10 | LETS GET TO WORK PAC | contributed_to | $-5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2024-08-05 | ESAFUND | supports_independently | $13,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-23 | ESAFUND | supports_independently | $47,054 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-23 | MWSA INC. | supports_independently | $2,332 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-22 | MWSA INC. | supports_independently | $6,662 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-16 | MWSA INC. | supports_independently | $25,847 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-08 | MWSA INC. | supports_independently | $7,813 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-03 | MWSA INC. | supports_independently | $16,667 | fec_ies |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | SMILEY FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |