ROTH, ROGER JAMES JR.
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4WI08085- Internal id
f22db20c-7b38-43f6-a48b-91ce751816fe- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), WI-08. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 742,398 |
| People | Median age | 41 |
| Income | Median household income | $78,966 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $43,246 |
| Income | In poverty | 8.3% |
| Income | Unemployed | 2.6% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.437 |
| Race | White alone | 84.9% |
| Race | Black alone | 1.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.5% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 6.5% |
| Race | Two or more races | 6.7% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 3.9% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 92.8% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 4.1% |
| Education | High school or higher | 62.3% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 29.7% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 8.9% |
| Household | Family households | 63.6% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.35 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 29.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $249,300 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $996 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 72.2% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.3% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.6% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 12.4% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.7% |
| Health | With a disability | 12.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.9% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 77.6% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 11.7% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $776,197 | $776,197 | $0 | $0 | $709,019 |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· WI-8 β lost_general
Committees
- ROTH FOR WISCONSIN β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $275,787 | $0 | 3 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-22 | SPEAK FREE OR DIE PAC | support | $25,787 | |
| 2024-07-21 | SPEAK FREE OR DIE PAC | support | $125,000 | TV / Radio / Digital Ads |
| 2024-07-02 | SPEAK FREE OR DIE PAC | support | $125,000 | Broadcast/Cable: 7/9 -> 7/15 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (3)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-22 | SPEAK FREE OR DIE PAC | supports_independently | $25,787 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-21 | SPEAK FREE OR DIE PAC | supports_independently | $125,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-02 | SPEAK FREE OR DIE PAC | supports_independently | $125,000 | fec_ies |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | ROTH FOR WISCONSIN | β | candidate_committees |