O'DONNELL, STEVEN LAYNE
D Β· house
Sign in to add to a watchlist β
- FEC candidate id
H6AR04100- Internal id
1f59ac0f-9113-4099-85a1-6ef67b7a0e4a- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), AR-04. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 748,462 |
| People | Median age | 41 |
| Income | Median household income | $52,605 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $29,072 |
| Income | In poverty | 18.8% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.6% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.470 |
| Race | White alone | 69.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 19.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 0.7% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 7.9% |
| Race | Two or more races | 6.4% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 3.6% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 93.2% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 5.6% |
| Education | High school or higher | 57.7% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 19.1% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 6.4% |
| Household | Family households | 63.4% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.44 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 29.6% |
| Housing | Median home value | $143,300 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $814 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 69.8% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.3% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.6% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 17.8% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.5% |
| Health | With a disability | 20.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 81.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 15.0% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 81.2% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 5.6% |
Elections
- 2026 general house Β· AR-4 β running
Committees
- STEVE O'DONNELL FOR U.S CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | STEVE O'DONNELL FOR U.S CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |